Sport Picks
A. Italiano vs Deportes Santa Cruz
Chile
Copa Chile Estadio Bicentenario de La Florida, Santiago de Chile 
Match Events
46'
46'
Sub
Loyola F. In: Coelho D.
Out: Loyola F.
46'
46'
Sub
Rojas Munoz O. J. In: Fuentes M.
Out: Rojas Munoz O. J.
46'
46'
Sub
Sandoval M. In: Mateos F.
Out: Sandoval M.
AI Match Summary
Deportes Santa Cruz in this Copa Chile tie, finishing 0-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
33%
27%
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: A. Italiano
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
70%
/ Medium Confidence
- Deportes Santa Cruz haven't matched A. Italiano's recent run of results.
- A. Italiano are the model's pick here, at 40%.
- A. Italiano have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Deportes Santa Cruz, who have won 2 of the last 4 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Deportes Santa Cruz have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
A. Italiano Clean Sheet 20%
Deportes Santa Cruz Clean Sheet 15%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | A. Italiano | Deportes Santa Cruz |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 28 |
| Wins | 12 | 8 |
| Draws | 6 | 10 |
| Losses | 12 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.25 | 1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.13 | 0.75 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.13 | 0.75 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 5, 2026 Copa Chile
Deportes Santa Cruz vs A. Italiano
2:1
Jun 19, 2026 Copa Chile
A. Italiano vs Deportes Santa Cruz
0:1
Jun 30, 2024 Copa Chile
A. Italiano vs Deportes Santa Cruz
0:2
Jun 23, 2024 Copa Chile
Deportes Santa Cruz vs A. Italiano
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
A. Italiano Compare
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63
Deportes Santa Cruz Compare
Top Goalscorer Orellana F.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
A. Italiano 40 / 100
Deportes Santa Cruz 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
A. Italiano Deportes Santa Cruz
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick ITA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
A. Italiano scored in 80% of their last 30 games.
Defensive concern: Deportes Santa Cruz conceded in 75% of 28 recent games.
H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.
A. Italiano has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
A. Italiano VS Deportes Santa Cruz
1.25 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
A. Italiano
(Home) 11 Jul
Magallanes
0 : 1 A. Italiano
05 Jul
Deportes Santa Cruz
2 : 1 A. Italiano
30 Jun
A. Italiano
3 : 2 Palestino
27 Jun
A. Italiano
2 : 1 Magallanes
24 Jun
Palestino
1 : 2 A. Italiano
Page 1 of 6
30 Jun
A. Italiano
3 : 2 Palestino
27 Jun
A. Italiano
2 : 1 Magallanes
19 Jun
A. Italiano
0 : 1 Deportes Santa Cruz
13 Jun
A. Italiano
1 : 1 La Serena
23 May
A. Italiano
2 : 1 Cobresal
Page 1 of 3
Deportes Santa Cruz
(Away) 11 Jul
Palestino
3 : 2 Deportes Santa Cruz
05 Jul
Deportes Santa Cruz
2 : 1 A. Italiano
27 Jun
Deportes Santa Cruz
0 : 0 Palestino
19 Jun
A. Italiano
0 : 1 Deportes Santa Cruz
07 Jun
Rangers
0 : 1 Deportes Santa Cruz
Page 1 of 6
11 Jul
Palestino
3 : 2 Deportes Santa Cruz
19 Jun
A. Italiano
0 : 1 Deportes Santa Cruz
07 Jun
Rangers
0 : 1 Deportes Santa Cruz
24 May
Antofagasta
1 : 1 Deportes Santa Cruz
09 May
Recoleta
1 : 0 Deportes Santa Cruz
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Coquimbo | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 7:3 | 9 |
| 2 | Deportes Iquique | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 9:5 | 8 |
| 3 | Limache | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 10:8 | 8 |
| 4 | San Marcos de Arica | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2:12 | 1 |
Promotion - Copa Chile (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | U. Catolica | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 14:9 | 15 |
| 2 | Everton | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10:9 | 8 |
| 3 | San Luis | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 11:10 | 6 |
| 4 | Copiapo | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3:10 | 4 |
Promotion - Copa Chile (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Antofagasta | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 12:5 | 16 |
| 2 | Cobreloa | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7:6 | 8 |
| 3 | La Serena | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:10 | 7 |
| 4 | Cobresal | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2:7 | 2 |
Promotion - Copa Chile (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | U. De Chile | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 12:7 | 10 |
| 2 | Union La Calera | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 9:6 | 8 |
| 3 | San Felipe | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6:7 | 7 |
| 4 | S. Wanderers | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7:14 | 3 |
Promotion - Copa Chile (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 5)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Colo Colo | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 12:8 | 10 |
| 2 | O Higgins | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 10:7 | 8 |
| 3 | Recoleta | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5:8 | 5 |
| 4 | U. Espanola | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4:8 | 4 |
Promotion - Copa Chile (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 6)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nublense | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8:5 | 10 |
| 2 | Curico Unido | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7:6 | 8 |
| 3 | Rangers | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4:6 | 6 |
| 4 | U. De Concepcion | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7:9 | 4 |
Promotion - Copa Chile (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 7)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Deportes Santa Cruz | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 11:6 | 13 |
| 2 | A. Italiano | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 9:7 | 12 |
| 3 | Palestino | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 12:9 | 10 |
| 4 | Magallanes | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5:15 | 0 |
Promotion - Copa Chile (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 8)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | D. Concepcion | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 10:6 | 13 |
| 2 | D. Puerto Montt | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8:6 | 10 |
| 3 | Huachipato | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7:9 | 6 |
| 4 | Deportes Temuco | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4:8 | 5 |
Promotion - Copa Chile (Play Offs)