Sport Picks

Stadium Background

A. Lima vs Cobresol

Peru Peru

Primera Division 2012
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Vidales J.
33'
Tordoya I.
47' Event
Enahoro T.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Primera Division 2012 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
A. Lima
20%
Draws
22%
Cobresol
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: A. Lima

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • A. Lima have won more games recently than Cobresol.
  • Model gives A. Lima a 58% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Primera Division 2012 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
A. Lima Clean Sheet 20%
Cobresol Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric A. Lima Cobresol
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 15 4
Draws 10 6
Losses 6 20
Goals Scored 1.45 0.73
Goals Conceded 0.84 1.87
Expected Goals (xG) 1.73 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 5, 2012 Liga 1
A. Lima vs Cobresol
2:2
May 12, 2012 Liga 1
Cobresol vs A. Lima
1:0
Sep 11, 2011 Liga 1
Cobresol vs A. Lima
0:5
Mar 19, 2011 Liga 1
A. Lima vs Cobresol
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

A. Lima Compare

Top Goalscorer Vidales J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.33
Avg xA / game 0.86

Cobresol Compare

Top Goalscorer Enahoro T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Siparan M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.63
Avg xA / game 0.38

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

A. Lima 85 / 100
Cobresol 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
A. Lima Cobresol

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick A. Lima Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

A. Lima found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (31 games).

Cobresol let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

A. Lima went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

A. Lima VS -
2.25 Goals Scored 0
0.38 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

A. Lima

(Home)
30 Aug
A. Lima
0 : 1
Deportivo Garcilaso
23 Aug
FBC Melgar
1 : 1
A. Lima
16 Aug
A. Lima
1 : 0
Cajamarca
09 Aug
Sport Boys
1 : 1
A. Lima
02 Aug
A. Lima
3 : 1
Alianza Atl.
Page 1 of 7

Cobresol

(Away)
25 Nov
Ayacucho
2 : 0
Cobresol
18 Nov
Cobresol
1 : 2
U. San Martin
11 Nov
Cobresol
4 : 0
Sport Huancayo
06 Nov
Universitario de Deportes
4 : 0
Cobresol
01 Nov
Cobresol
1 : 2
Cienciano
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sporting Cristal 30 17 7 6 62:30 58
2 Cusco 30 16 9 5 38:21 57
3 Cesar Vallejo 30 16 7 7 44:27 55
4 Ayacucho 30 13 6 11 32:29 45
5 Juan Aurich 30 13 6 11 37:39 45
6 Jose Galvez 30 12 9 9 30:34 45
7 Universitario de Deportes 30 11 10 9 40:37 42
8 FBC Melgar 30 11 8 11 35:34 41
9 Leon de Huanuco 30 10 10 10 42:32 40
10 Sport Huancayo 30 11 7 12 34:37 40
11 U. San Martin 30 10 8 12 33:38 38
12 Union Comercio 30 11 5 14 37:43 38
13 A. Lima 30 9 11 10 31:36 34
14 Cienciano 30 10 4 16 37:46 34
15 Sport Boys 30 5 11 14 25:40 26
16 Cobresol 30 3 6 21 22:56 11
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2013 (Qualification)