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A. Lima vs Comerciantes Unidos

Peru Peru

Liga 1 Estadio Alejandro Villanueva
Our Tip

Match Events

42' Event
Garces R.
Assist: Castillo E.
42'
Sen M.
45'
Advincula L.

AI Match Summary

The Liga 1 game between A. Lima and Comerciantes Unidos finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward A. Lima.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
A. Lima
20%
Draws
38%
Comerciantes Unidos
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: A. Lima

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • A. Lima has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Comerciantes Unidos.
  • Model forecasts a 42% win probability edge for A. Lima.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Liga 1 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
A. Lima Clean Sheet 20%
Comerciantes Unidos Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric A. Lima Comerciantes Unidos
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 14 9
Draws 7 10
Losses 8 9
Goals Scored 1.25 0.25
Goals Conceded 0.75 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 8, 2026 Liga 1
A. Lima vs Comerciantes Unidos
2:1
Sep 22, 2025 Liga 1
A. Lima vs Comerciantes Unidos
4:0
Jun 19, 2025 Liga 1
Comerciantes Unidos vs A. Lima
0:1
Aug 3, 2024 Liga 1
Comerciantes Unidos vs A. Lima
1:3
Feb 25, 2024 Liga 1
A. Lima vs Comerciantes Unidos
5:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

A. Lima Compare

Top Goalscorer Garces R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Comerciantes Unidos Compare

Top Goalscorer Ayovi W.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.23
Avg xA / game 0.14

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

A. Lima 42 / 100
Comerciantes Unidos 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
A. Lima Comerciantes Unidos

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

A. Lima scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

Comerciantes Unidos let in goals in 64% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

A. Lima went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Comerciantes Unidos lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

A. Lima VS Comerciantes Unidos
1.25 Goals Scored 0.25
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 38%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1A. Lima17124130:840
2Los Chankas17104325:2134
3Cienciano17103434:2233
4Universitario de Deportes1785424:1529
5FBC Melgar1784529:2028
6Cusco1783621:2427
7Deportivo Garcilaso1775521:1826
8Alianza Atl.1756620:1821
9Comerciantes Unidos1756618:2021
10AD Tarma1755722:2120
11Sport Boys1755715:1920
12Sporting Cristal1754828:3019
13Cajamarca1746721:2618
14Moquegua1753917:2418
15FC Cajamarca1745823:2817
16Atletico Grau1744912:1816
17Sport Huancayo1744921:3116
18Juan Pablo II1744922:4016