Sport Picks
A. Lima vs Universitario de Deportes
Peru
Liga 1 Estadio Alejandro Villanueva, Lima 
Match Events
16'
16'
Valera A.
Assist: Lapadula G.
26'
26'
Guede P.
45'
45'
Di Benedetto M.
AI Match Summary
Universitario de Deportes in this Liga 1 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Universitario de Deportes.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
23%
30%
47%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Universitario de Deportes
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- A. Lima have won more games recently than Universitario de Deportes.
- Universitario de Deportes are the model's pick here, at 70%.
- Regular Liga 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
A. Lima Clean Sheet 14%
Universitario de Deportes Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | A. Lima | Universitario de Deportes |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 31 |
| Wins | 15 | 14 |
| Draws | 10 | 9 |
| Losses | 6 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.45 | 1.39 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.81 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 13, 2026 Liga 1
A. Lima vs Universitario de Deportes
1:2
Apr 5, 2026 Liga 1
Universitario de Deportes vs A. Lima
1:0
Aug 24, 2025 Liga 1
Universitario de Deportes vs A. Lima
0:0
Apr 6, 2025 Liga 1
A. Lima vs Universitario de Deportes
1:1
Jul 27, 2024 Liga 1
Universitario de Deportes vs A. Lima
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
A. Lima Compare
Top Goalscorer Girotti F.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66
Universitario de Deportes Compare
Top Goalscorer Valera A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Alzugaray L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
A. Lima 15 / 100
Universitario de Deportes 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
A. Lima Universitario de Deportes
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Universitario de Deportes Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
A. Lima scored in 84% of their last 31 games.
Universitario de Deportes has conceded goals in 65% of their last 31 outings.
Games between these two average 1.80 goals.
A. Lima went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
A. Lima VS Universitario de Deportes
1.25 Goals Scored 2.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
A. Lima
(Home) 19 Sept
A. Lima
2 : 0 AD Tarma
13 Sept
A. Lima
1 : 2 Universitario de Deportes
06 Sept
Juan Pablo II
1 : 1 A. Lima
30 Aug
A. Lima
0 : 1 Deportivo Garcilaso
23 Aug
FBC Melgar
1 : 1 A. Lima
Page 1 of 7
19 Sept
A. Lima
2 : 0 AD Tarma
13 Sept
A. Lima
1 : 2 Universitario de Deportes
30 Aug
A. Lima
0 : 1 Deportivo Garcilaso
16 Aug
A. Lima
1 : 0 Cajamarca
02 Aug
A. Lima
3 : 1 Alianza Atl.
Page 1 of 4
Universitario de Deportes
(Away) 19 Sept
Deportivo Garcilaso
4 : 0 Universitario de Deportes
13 Sept
A. Lima
1 : 2 Universitario de Deportes
06 Sept
Universitario de Deportes
2 : 2 Comerciantes Unidos
29 Aug
Cajamarca
2 : 4 Universitario de Deportes
23 Aug
Universitario de Deportes
3 : 0 Los Chankas
Page 1 of 7
19 Sept
Deportivo Garcilaso
4 : 0 Universitario de Deportes
13 Sept
A. Lima
1 : 2 Universitario de Deportes
29 Aug
Cajamarca
2 : 4 Universitario de Deportes
16 Aug
FC Cajamarca
2 : 3 Universitario de Deportes
02 Aug
Cienciano
2 : 0 Universitario de Deportes
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 18:6 | 22 |
| 2 | Universitario de Deportes | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 19:16 | 20 |
| 3 | Sporting Cristal | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 20:10 | 19 |
| 4 | Alianza Atl. | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 20:17 | 19 |
| 5 | Sport Huancayo | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 16:13 | 19 |
| 6 | Juan Pablo II | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 20:12 | 18 |
| 7 | FBC Melgar | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 16:9 | 18 |
| 8 | Sport Boys | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 14:7 | 18 |
| 9 | Cusco | 10 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 19:14 | 18 |
| 10 | A. Lima | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 14:10 | 16 |
| 11 | Atletico Grau | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 14:13 | 16 |
| 12 | FC Cajamarca | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 18:24 | 10 |
| 13 | Comerciantes Unidos | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 17:18 | 9 |
| 14 | Cienciano | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 11:17 | 7 |
| 15 | Moquegua | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 7:17 | 7 |
| 16 | Los Chankas | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 10:23 | 7 |
| 17 | AD Tarma | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 7:21 | 5 |
| 18 | Cajamarca | 10 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 11:24 | 2 |
Promotion - Liga 1 (Play Offs)
