Sport Picks

Stadium Background

A. Lustenau vs Ried - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Austria Austria

Bundesliga Planet Pure Stadion, Lustenau
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Weixelbraun D.
Assist: Danilo Soares
34' Event
Nasrawe J.
Assist: Bajic A.
45'
Danilo Soares

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Bundesliga matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
A. Lustenau
20%
Draws
52%
Ried
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ried

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Ried at 1.76 per game, A. Lustenau at 1.45.
  • 52% — that's where the model lands on Ried taking it.
  • Regular Bundesliga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36%
A. Lustenau Clean Sheet 10%
Ried Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric A. Lustenau Ried
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 13
Draws 6 7
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 1.45 1.76
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 2, 2026 Bundesliga
A. Lustenau vs Ried
1:1
Apr 21, 2025 2. Liga
Ried vs A. Lustenau
1:1
Oct 18, 2024 2. Liga
A. Lustenau vs Ried
1:1
May 6, 2023 Bundesliga
A. Lustenau vs Ried
2:2
Apr 29, 2023 Bundesliga
Ried vs A. Lustenau
4:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

A. Lustenau Compare

Top Goalscorer Weixelbraun D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Ried Compare

Top Goalscorer Nasrawe J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

A. Lustenau 18 / 100
Ried 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
A. Lustenau Ried

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ried Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Ried conceded in 86% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: A. Lustenau scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.

A. Lustenau went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

A. Lustenau VS Ried
1.88 Goals Scored 2.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

A. Lustenau

(Home)
17 Oct
A. Lustenau
0 : 4
LASK Linz
11 Oct
Hartberg
4 : 3
A. Lustenau
03 Oct
A. Lustenau
0 : 1
Schalke
24 Sept
A. Lustenau
3 : 1
SW Bregenz
19 Sept
A. Lustenau
2 : 0
Altach
Page 1 of 6

Ried

(Away)
17 Oct
Ried
3 : 2
Austria Vienna
10 Oct
Tirol
1 : 2
Ried
02 Oct
Ried
3 : 3
Amstetten
20 Sept
Ried
4 : 1
Wolfsberger AC
11 Sept
Ried
1 : 1
Salzburg
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rapid Vienna 9 8 0 1 26:8 24
2 Salzburg 9 6 3 0 21:4 21
3 LASK Linz 9 6 1 2 23:9 19
4 Sturm Graz 9 5 2 2 16:10 17
5 Ried 9 4 2 3 16:15 14
6 Tirol 9 3 2 4 12:14 11
7 Hartberg 9 3 2 4 15:19 11
8 Grazer AK 9 2 3 4 7:22 9
9 A. Lustenau 9 2 2 5 11:19 8
10 Austria Vienna 9 2 1 6 9:18 7
11 Altach 9 2 0 7 8:15 6
12 Wolfsberger AC 9 1 2 6 7:18 5
Promotion - Bundesliga (Championship Group)
Relegation - Bundesliga (Relegation Group)