Sport Picks
Millonarios vs Once Caldas - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Colombia
Primera A Estadio El Campín, Bogotá 
AI Match Summary
Millonarios host Once Caldas in the Primera A. Little to choose between these two on current form. Recent numbers: Millonarios at 1.66 goals for, 1.16 against; Once Caldas at 1.59 for, 1.14 against. Past meetings favor Millonarios slightly — 1-0-4 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 21, 2026, ending 1:4. xG projections (1.38 - 1.00) back Millonarios to edge this. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Attack-wise there's a gap: Millonarios at 1.66 per game, Once Caldas at 1.59.
- 47% — that's where the model lands on Millonarios taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Millonarios | Once Caldas |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 29 |
| Wins | 12 | 12 |
| Draws | 11 | 10 |
| Losses | 9 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.66 | 1.59 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.16 | 1.14 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Millonarios found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (32 games).
Once Caldas has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.
Games between these two average 2.60 goals.
Recent resilience: Millonarios stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Millonarios
(Home)Once Caldas
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | America De Cali | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 24:7 | 27 |
| 2 | Dep. Cali | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 20:9 | 24 |
| 3 | Bucaramanga | 11 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 20:10 | 23 |
| 4 | Atl. Nacional | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 21:10 | 22 |
| 5 | Santa Fe | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 19:12 | 22 |
| 6 | Millonarios | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 18:11 | 21 |
| 7 | Ind. Medellin | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 19:16 | 20 |
| 8 | Deportes Tolima | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 15:13 | 19 |
| 9 | Cucuta | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15:19 | 15 |
| 10 | Llaneros | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 15:16 | 14 |
| 11 | Aguilas Doradas | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 14:15 | 14 |
| 12 | Once Caldas | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 15:16 | 13 |
| 13 | Inter Bogotá | 13 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 14:18 | 13 |
| 14 | Chico | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 10:18 | 12 |
| 15 | Alianza | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 12:24 | 11 |
| 16 | Fortaleza C.E.I.F. | 12 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 13:18 | 10 |
| 17 | Junior | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 16:20 | 9 |
| 18 | Dep. Pasto | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 9:18 | 9 |
| 19 | Dep. Pereira | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 7:17 | 8 |
| 20 | Jaguares de Cordoba | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 11:20 | 7 |
