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Atletico San Luis vs Queretaro - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX Estadio Libertad Financiera, San Luis Potosí
Wed, Oct 21, 2026
VS
01:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Atletico San Luis host Queretaro in the Liga MX. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: Atletico San Luis at 1.59 goals for, 1.62 against; Queretaro at 1.18 for, 1.18 against. Head-to-head, Atletico San Luis have won 2 to Queretaro's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on Jun 26, 2026, ending 2:2. Model xG sits at 1.06 vs 1.63, favoring Queretaro. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Atletico San Luis
15%
Draws
58%
Queretaro
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Queretaro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Queretaro have won more games recently than Atletico San Luis.
  • 58% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Liga MX form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Atletico San Luis Clean Sheet 14%
Queretaro Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atletico San Luis Queretaro
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 10 11
Draws 6 9
Losses 13 8
Goals Scored 1.59 1.18
Goals Conceded 1.62 1.18
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 26, 2026 Club Friendly
Queretaro vs Atletico San Luis
2:2
Feb 14, 2026 Liga MX
Atletico San Luis vs Queretaro
3:0
Aug 23, 2025 Liga MX
Queretaro vs Atletico San Luis
3:2
Feb 8, 2025 Liga MX
Queretaro vs Atletico San Luis
1:0
Aug 19, 2024 Liga MX
Atletico San Luis vs Queretaro
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atletico San Luis 35 / 100
Queretaro 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atletico San Luis Queretaro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Queretaro Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Atletico San Luis's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Queretaro let in goals in 68% of their last 28 matches.

Recent resilience: Atletico San Luis stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Atletico San Luis VS Queretaro
1.38 Goals Scored 1.38
1.88 Goals Conceded 0.75
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Atletico San Luis

(Home)
11 Oct
Atletico San Luis
1 : 2
Santos Laguna
27 Sept
UNAM Pumas
2 : 3
Atletico San Luis
19 Sept
Atletico San Luis
3 : 1
Necaxa
15 Sept
Club Leon
2 : 0
Atletico San Luis
05 Sept
Atletico San Luis
0 : 3
Guadalajara Chivas
Page 1 of 6

Queretaro

(Away)
10 Oct
Queretaro
2 : 0
Atlante
26 Sept
Guadalajara Chivas
0 : 2
Queretaro
21 Sept
Queretaro
1 : 1
Club Leon
12 Sept
Club Tijuana
0 : 1
Queretaro
29 Aug
Atlas
1 : 3
Queretaro
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Club America 10 6 3 1 22:11 21
2 Atlas 12 6 3 3 19:18 21
3 Toluca 11 6 2 3 25:15 20
4 Queretaro 10 6 2 2 15:8 20
5 Guadalajara Chivas 11 5 4 2 18:11 19
6 Club Leon 11 5 3 3 15:12 18
7 Cruz Azul 11 5 2 4 22:21 17
8 Club Tijuana 11 4 4 3 15:14 16
9 UNAM Pumas 12 4 4 4 19:20 16
10 Puebla 12 4 4 4 12:13 16
11 Monterrey 10 4 2 4 17:15 14
12 Pachuca 11 3 4 4 18:14 13
13 Tigres UANL 11 3 4 4 13:15 13
14 Santos Laguna 11 4 1 6 12:16 13
15 Atletico San Luis 11 3 3 5 15:20 12
16 Atlante 12 2 5 5 13:19 11
17 Necaxa 12 2 3 7 15:25 9
18 Juarez 11 1 1 9 8:26 4
Promotion - Liga MX (Apertura - Play Offs)