Sport Picks

Stadium Background

A. Salzburg vs Kapfenberg

Austria Austria

2. Liga Max-Aicher-Stadion, Salzburg
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Zlibanovic R.
Assist: Rostas J.
32'
Zlibanovic R.
38' Event
Gebauer C.
Assist: Huetz C.

AI Match Summary

The 2. Liga game between A. Salzburg and Kapfenberg finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward A. Salzburg.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
A. Salzburg
15%
Draws
36%
Kapfenberg
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: A. Salzburg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and A. Salzburg come out ahead of Kapfenberg on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular 2. Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.6%
A. Salzburg Clean Sheet 68%
Kapfenberg Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric A. Salzburg Kapfenberg
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 8
Draws 10 2
Losses 6 19
Goals Scored 2.07 1.24
Goals Conceded 1.28 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 21, 2026 2. Liga
A. Salzburg vs Kapfenberg
3:2
Apr 25, 2026 2. Liga
A. Salzburg vs Kapfenberg
1:0
Oct 31, 2025 2. Liga
Kapfenberg vs A. Salzburg
4:1
May 25, 2016 2. Liga
Kapfenberg vs A. Salzburg
1:1
Apr 12, 2016 2. Liga
A. Salzburg vs Kapfenberg
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

A. Salzburg Compare

Top Goalscorer Gebauer C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Crnkic T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Kapfenberg Compare

Top Goalscorer Zlibanovic R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Heuser B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

A. Salzburg 41 / 100
Kapfenberg 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
A. Salzburg Kapfenberg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick A. Salzburg Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 6:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

A. Salzburg found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (29 games).

Kapfenberg's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Kapfenberg's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

A. Salzburg VS Kapfenberg
2 Goals Scored 1.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

A. Salzburg

(Home)
19 Sept
ASK Voitsberg
2 : 1
A. Salzburg
12 Sept
A. Salzburg
3 : 3
Sturm II
05 Sept
A. Salzburg
0 : 4
First Vienna
28 Aug
St. Polten
1 : 0
A. Salzburg
21 Aug
A. Salzburg
3 : 2
Kapfenberg
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Kapfenberg

(Away)
24 Sept
Hartberg
5 : 0
Kapfenberg
18 Sept
Kapfenberg
3 : 4
Amstetten
11 Sept
Admira
1 : 0
Kapfenberg
04 Sept
Kapfenberg
0 : 1
Hogo Hertha Wels
28 Aug
Kapfenberg
2 : 1
BW Linz
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 BW Linz 7 6 0 1 20:4 18
2 First Vienna 7 5 1 1 14:7 16
3 Floridsdorfer AC Wien 7 4 1 2 13:10 13
4 Amstetten 7 3 3 1 14:11 12
5 Austria Vienna (Am) 7 4 0 3 13:11 12
6 Wacker Innsbruck 7 3 2 2 10:8 11
7 A. Salzburg 7 3 1 3 14:12 10
8 FC Liefering 7 3 1 3 14:15 10
9 SW Bregenz 7 3 1 3 11:12 10
10 St. Polten 7 3 0 4 6:6 9
11 Admira 7 3 0 4 7:8 9
12 ASK Voitsberg 7 2 3 2 10:12 9
13 Sturm II 7 2 2 3 15:18 8
14 Rapid Vienna II 7 2 0 5 7:17 6
15 Hogo Hertha Wels 7 1 1 5 8:17 4
16 Kapfenberg 7 1 0 6 9:17 3
Promotion - Bundesliga 2027/2028 (Main)