Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
This match ends 0-5, with Messinense advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
34%
15%
51%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Messinense
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- AA Avanca haven't matched Messinense's recent run of results.
- Win probability leans Messinense's way, sitting at 60%.
- Messinense arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Messinense, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
AA Avanca Clean Sheet 10%
Messinense Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | AA Avanca | Messinense |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 10 | 9 |
| Wins | 2 | 4 |
| Draws | 1 | 0 |
| Losses | 7 | 5 |
| Goals Scored | 0.8 | 1.78 |
| Goals Conceded | 3.2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 2.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 4, 2010 Taça de Portugal
AA Avanca vs Messinense
0:5
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
AA Avanca 18 / 100
Messinense 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AA Avanca Messinense
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Messinense Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Messinense has conceded goals in 89% of their last 9 outings.
These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.
Messinense lost 3 of their last 5 games.
AA Avanca found the back of the net in 40% of recent matches (10 games).
Scoring Trends
AA Avanca VS Messinense
0.75 Goals Scored 1.88
2.75 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
AA Avanca
(Home) 05 Sept
AA Avanca
2 : 2 Feirense U23
22 Sept
Chaves
8 : 0 AA Avanca
01 Sept
GD Braganca
0 : 1 AA Avanca
15 Sept
AA Avanca
0 : 3 SC Espinho
11 Sept
Vizela
2 : 0 AA Avanca
Page 1 of 2
05 Sept
AA Avanca
2 : 2 Feirense U23
15 Sept
AA Avanca
0 : 3 SC Espinho
04 Sept
AA Avanca
0 : 5 Messinense
23 Sept
AA Avanca
0 : 6 Esmoriz
Messinense
(Away) 28 Aug
Messinense
1 : 2 Juv. Evora
18 Sept
Messinense
1 : 2 FC Cesarense
04 Sept
AA Avanca
0 : 5 Messinense
14 Sept
Messinense
0 : 4 Olhanense
31 Aug
Messinense
2 : 1 SC Praiense
Page 1 of 2
04 Sept
AA Avanca
0 : 5 Messinense
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
FC Porto 4
AD Limianos 1
Operario 0
Moreirense 2
Santa Maria FC 1
Penalva do Castelo 0
Santa Clara 0
Juv. Evora 1
Leixoes 3
Mafra 2
AD Pontassolense 1
SC Espinho 4
Tirsense 5
Sampedrense 1
AD Fafe 0
Pinhalnovense 3
Rio Ave 4
Estrela Vendas Novas 1
Anadia 1
Feirense 2
GD Tourizense 2
Aliados Lordelo 1
Macedo de Cavaleiros 1
Atletico CP 3
Olhanense 1
Sertanense 0
Padroense 2
Nacional 4
Braga 2
1º Dezembro 1
Arouca 1
Benfica 5
Academica 2
FC Cesarense 1
SC Mirandela 1
Beira Mar 2
Bombarralense 0
Louletano 0
Leiria 1
U. Madeira 2
Sporting CP 2
Estoril 1
Sao Joao de Ver 1
Pacos Ferreira 3
Maritimo 2
Naval 0
Gil Vicente 1
Vitoria Setubal 2
Merelinense 2
SC Farense 1
Fatima 0
Carregado 1
Ribeirao 2
BSAD 0
Gondomar 0
Varzim 1
Torreense 1
Lagoa 0
Coimbroes 1
Mondinense 2
Portimonense 2
Cinfaes 0
Malveira 0
Vitoria Guimaraes 4
1/16-finals
FC Porto 1
Moreirense 0
Santa Maria FC 0
Juv. Evora 3
Leixoes 2
SC Espinho 1
Tirsense 0
Pinhalnovense 2
Rio Ave 3
Feirense 0
GD Tourizense 2
Atletico CP 3
Olhanense 1
Nacional 0
Braga 0
Benfica 2
Academica 2
Beira Mar 0
Bombarralense -
U. Madeira -
Sporting CP 1
Pacos Ferreira 0
Maritimo 1
Vitoria Setubal 2
Merelinense 2
Carregado 0
Ribeirao 3
Varzim 4
Torreense 2
Mondinense 1
Portimonense 1
Vitoria Guimaraes 2
1/8-finals
FC Porto 4
Juv. Evora 0
Leixoes 1
Pinhalnovense 2
Rio Ave 4
Atletico CP 1
Olhanense 0
Benfica 5
Academica 3
U. Madeira 1
Sporting CP 1
Vitoria Setubal 2
Merelinense 2
Varzim 1
Torreense 0
Vitoria Guimaraes 2
Quarter-finals
FC Porto 2
Pinhalnovense 0
Rio Ave 0
Benfica 2
Academica 3
Vitoria Setubal 2
Merelinense 0
Vitoria Guimaraes 2
Semi-finals
FC Porto 3
Benfica 3
Academica 0
Vitoria Guimaraes 1
Final
FC Porto 6
Vitoria Guimaraes 2
