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AA Avanca vs SC Espinho

Portugal Portugal

Taça de Portugal 2012/2013
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

SC Espinho in this Taça de Portugal 2012/2013 tie, finishing 0-3. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
AA Avanca
15%
Draws
59%
SC Espinho
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: SC Espinho

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to SC Espinho lately — more wins on the board than AA Avanca.
  • 59% — that's where the model lands on SC Espinho taking it.
  • SC Espinho arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor SC Espinho, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 62.6%
AA Avanca Clean Sheet 16%
SC Espinho Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AA Avanca SC Espinho
Matches Played 10 31
Wins 2 15
Draws 1 7
Losses 7 9
Goals Scored 0.8 1.29
Goals Conceded 3.2 0.68
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.49
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 15, 2012 Taça de Portugal
AA Avanca vs SC Espinho
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AA Avanca 10 / 100
SC Espinho 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AA Avanca SC Espinho

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SC Espinho Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: AA Avanca scored in 40% of their last 10 outings.

SC Espinho has conceded goals in 55% of their last 31 outings.

Solid form: AA Avanca remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS SC Espinho
0 Goals Scored 1.88
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

AA Avanca

(Home)
05 Sept
AA Avanca
2 : 2
Feirense U23
22 Sept
Chaves
8 : 0
AA Avanca
01 Sept
GD Braganca
0 : 1
AA Avanca
15 Sept
AA Avanca
0 : 3
SC Espinho
11 Sept
Vizela
2 : 0
AA Avanca
Page 1 of 2

SC Espinho

(Away)
30 Aug
Cinfaes
1 : 0
SC Espinho
18 Oct
SC Espinho
0 : 1
Santa Clara
21 Sept
SC Espinho
5 : 1
Almodovar
31 Aug
Florgrade
0 : 1
SC Espinho
08 May
Santa Cruz Alvarenga
1 : 2
SC Espinho
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Vitoria Guimaraes -
TBD -
FC Felgueiras 1
Vilaverdense FC 2
Tondela 5
Lagoa 0
TBD -
Vitoria Setubal -
Aguiar da Beira 3
Vila Mea 2
SC Barreiro 2
Uniao Lamas 3
AD Oliveirense 1
Alcanenense 0
TBD -
Maritimo -
FC Porto -
TBD -
Amarante FC 0
Santa Eulalia 3
SC Espinho 3
AA Avanca 0
TBD -
Nacional -
FC Pampilhosa 1
GD Sourense 0
Cinfaes 0
Covilha 4
Leixoes 4
Leca 1
TBD -
Braga -
Arouca 1
Trofense 0
Atletico CP 0
Naval 2
Portimonense 2
Academico Viseu 0
TBD -
Rio Ave -
SC Farense 3
CDR Quarteirense 2
Grijo 0
Atletico SC 1
Penafiel 1
Casa Pia 0
TBD -
Beira Mar -
Fabril do Barreiro 2
Paredes 1
Desportivo Moncao 0
Electrico FC 1
Ribeirao 6
Uniao Montemor 0
Oeiras 1
Oliveira Hospital 4
Pedras Rubras 4
Maritimo Graciosa 0
SB Castelo Branco 1
U. Madeira 3
Anadia 3
Vitoria FC Pico 0
Vizela 0
BSAD 4
Pacos Ferreira -
TBD -
TBD -
Estoril -
1º Dezembro 1
Pero Pinheiro 0
TBD -
Olhanense -
Feirense 2
Padroense 0
C.F. Benfica 1
AD Fafe 2
Pinhalnovense 2
Santa Maria FC 1
Louletano 1
SC Lourinhanense 2
Oliveirense 2
Sintrense 1
Sertanense 1
Aliados Lordelo 2
Sacavenense 1
Sampedrense 0
CD Ribeira Brava 0
Leiria 1
SC Mirandela 1
SL Cartaxo 0
Bustelo 0
Varzim 3
Gondomar 1
SC Praiense 0
TBD -
Gil Vicente -
Academica -
TBD -
Melgacense 1
Ponte da Barca 2
Fatima 4
SC Pombal 1
GD Peniche 0
Penalva do Castelo 1
Santa Clara 3
Vasco da Gama Vidigueira 0
Tocha 1
Nogueirense 2
AD Limianos 4
Amora 0
Oriental 0
GD Tourizense 1
Aves 2
Estarreja 0
Chaves 0
Tirsense 2
Caldas SC 3
Operario 0
Sousense 0
Coimbroes 2
Moreirense -
TBD -
TBD -
Sporting CP -
Freamunde 1
SC Salgueiros 0
TBD -
Benfica -
1/32-finals
Vitoria Guimaraes 6
Vilaverdense FC 1
Tondela 0
Vitoria Setubal 1
Aguiar da Beira 1
Uniao Lamas 0
AD Oliveirense 1
Maritimo 2
FC Porto 1
Santa Eulalia 0
SC Espinho 0
Nacional 4
FC Pampilhosa 6
Covilha 5
Leixoes 0
Braga 3
Arouca 3
Naval 1
Portimonense 1
Rio Ave 2
SC Farense 1
Atletico SC 0
Penafiel 0
Beira Mar 1
Fabril do Barreiro 3
Electrico FC 1
Ribeirao 1
Oliveira Hospital 2
Pedras Rubras 3
U. Madeira 2
Anadia 2
BSAD 5
Pacos Ferreira 2
Estoril 1
1º Dezembro 0
Olhanense 3
Feirense 3
AD Fafe 0
Pinhalnovense 0
SC Lourinhanense 3
Oliveirense 2
Aliados Lordelo 0
Sacavenense 2
Leiria 3
SC Mirandela 2
Varzim 1
Gondomar 0
Gil Vicente 2
Academica 3
Ponte da Barca 1
Fatima 0
Penalva do Castelo 1
Santa Clara 3
Nogueirense 1
AD Limianos 0
GD Tourizense 1
Aves 3
Tirsense 1
Caldas SC 0
Coimbroes 1
Moreirense 3
Sporting CP 2
Freamunde 0
Benfica 4
1/16-finals
Vitoria Guimaraes 3
Vitoria Setubal 2
Aguiar da Beira 0
Maritimo 3
FC Porto 3
Nacional 0
FC Pampilhosa 1
Braga 3
Arouca 2
Rio Ave 1
SC Farense 1
Beira Mar 2
Fabril do Barreiro 2
Oliveira Hospital 0
Pedras Rubras 0
BSAD 3
Pacos Ferreira 2
Olhanense 1
Feirense 2
SC Lourinhanense 3
Oliveirense 1
Leiria 0
SC Mirandela 1
Gil Vicente 2
Academica 1
Penalva do Castelo 0
Santa Clara 0
GD Tourizense 1
Aves 2
Coimbroes 1
Moreirense 0
Benfica 2
1/8-finals
Vitoria Guimaraes 2
Maritimo 1
FC Porto 1
Braga 2
Arouca 2
Beira Mar 1
Fabril do Barreiro 0
BSAD 4
Pacos Ferreira 6
SC Lourinhanense 0
Oliveirense 0
Gil Vicente 1
Academica 3
GD Tourizense 0
Aves 0
Benfica 6
Quarter-finals
Vitoria Guimaraes 2
Braga 1
Arouca 1
BSAD 4
Pacos Ferreira 2
Gil Vicente 1
Academica 0
Benfica 4
Semi-finals
Vitoria Guimaraes 3
BSAD 0
Pacos Ferreira 1
Benfica 3
Final
Vitoria Guimaraes 2
Benfica 1