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AA Carapebus vs Barra Mansa - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Carioca B2 2024
AA Carapebus Logo

AA Carapebus

1 - 1
FT
Barra Mansa Logo

Barra Mansa

Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Rosiel
38' Event
Moura D.
90'
Pedrinho
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Carioca B2 2024 game between AA Carapebus and Barra Mansa finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
AA Carapebus
30%
Draws
58%
Barra Mansa
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Barra Mansa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and AA Carapebus come out ahead of Barra Mansa on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular Carioca B2 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 37%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.8%
AA Carapebus Clean Sheet 20%
Barra Mansa Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AA Carapebus Barra Mansa
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 6
Draws 6 10
Losses 14 13
Goals Scored 1.17 0.79
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 0.90 1.08
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 3, 2024 Carioca B2
AA Carapebus vs Barra Mansa
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AA Carapebus Compare

Top Goalscorer Rosiel
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.69
Avg xA / game 0.45

Barra Mansa Compare

Top Goalscorer Moura D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.98
Avg xA / game 0.6

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AA Carapebus 32 / 100
Barra Mansa 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AA Carapebus Barra Mansa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Barra Mansa let in goals in 62% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

AA Carapebus's goal record stands at 55% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

AA Carapebus went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

AA Carapebus VS Barra Mansa
0.67 Goals Scored 0.5
1.67 Goals Conceded 1.13
33% Over 1.5 50%
33% Over 2.5 38%
33% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

AA Carapebus

(Home)
03 Oct
Macae
4 : 3
AA Carapebus
25 Sept
AA Carapebus
0 : 1
Sao Cristovao
19 Sept
Artsul
0 : 0
AA Carapebus
11 Sept
AA Carapebus
1 : 4
Duque de Caxias
05 Sept
Campo Grande
1 : 0
AA Carapebus
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Barra Mansa

(Away)
05 Oct
Barra Mansa
0 : 0
Cardoso Moreira
01 Oct
FC Rio de Janeiro
2 : 0
Barra Mansa
28 Sept
Barra Mansa
1 : 0
Buzios
20 Sept
Paduano EC
2 : 2
Barra Mansa
14 Sept
Barra Mansa
1 : 4
7 de Abril
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Campo Grande 11 8 2 1 23:6 26
2 Bonsucesso 11 6 4 1 20:5 22
3 Niteroiense 11 6 3 2 19:12 21
4 AA Carapebus 11 6 2 3 23:11 20
5 Serra Macaense 11 4 5 2 10:7 17
6 Zinza 11 4 4 3 13:8 16
7 Barra Mansa 11 4 3 4 12:10 15
8 Uni Souza 11 4 3 4 13:18 15
9 7 de Abril 11 2 4 5 12:13 10
10 FC Rio de Janeiro 11 2 2 7 12:23 8
11 Mageense 11 2 0 9 11:30 6
12 Rio Sao Paulo 11 2 0 9 8:33 6
Promotion - Carioca B2 2024 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Carioca C 2025 (Main)