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AA Carapebus vs Bonsucesso

Brazil Brazil

Carioca B1 2025
AA Carapebus Logo

AA Carapebus

1 - 1
FT
Bonsucesso Logo

Bonsucesso

Our Tip

Match Events

35' Event
41' Event
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Carioca B1 2025 game between AA Carapebus and Bonsucesso finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

8%
AA Carapebus
30%
Draws
62%
Bonsucesso
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Bonsucesso

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

62% / High Confidence
  • AA Carapebus haven't matched Bonsucesso's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Bonsucesso a 62% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Carioca B1 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 29%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 16.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 7%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.4%
AA Carapebus Clean Sheet 23%
Bonsucesso Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AA Carapebus Bonsucesso
Matches Played 28 39
Wins 9 17
Draws 6 10
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 1.11 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.21 0.92
Expected Goals (xG) 0.54 0.97
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 5, 2025 Carioca B1
AA Carapebus vs Bonsucesso
1:1
Oct 24, 2024 Carioca B2
AA Carapebus vs Bonsucesso
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AA Carapebus 24 / 100
Bonsucesso 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AA Carapebus Bonsucesso

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bonsucesso Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Bonsucesso conceded in 62% of 39 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

AA Carapebus's goal record stands at 54% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Solid form: AA Carapebus remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

AA Carapebus VS Bonsucesso
0.2 Goals Scored 0.75
1.2 Goals Conceded 0.88
20% Over 1.5 38%
20% Over 2.5 25%
20% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

AA Carapebus

(Home)
25 Sept
AA Carapebus
0 : 1
Sao Cristovao
19 Sept
Artsul
0 : 0
AA Carapebus
11 Sept
AA Carapebus
1 : 4
Duque de Caxias
05 Sept
Campo Grande
1 : 0
AA Carapebus
08 Nov
AA Carapebus
0 : 2
Duque de Caxias
Page 1 of 6

Bonsucesso

(Away)
22 Jul
Madureira
2 : 1
Bonsucesso
15 Jul
Bonsucesso
2 : 2
Madureira
04 Jul
Olaria
0 : 1
Bonsucesso
01 Jul
Bonsucesso
3 : 2
America RJ
23 Jun
Cabofriense
0 : 0
Bonsucesso
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bonsucesso 11 6 4 1 14:7 22
2 Sao Cristovao 11 5 4 2 14:8 19
3 Serrano FC 11 5 3 3 14:11 18
4 Duque de Caxias 11 5 3 3 10:9 18
5 Niteroiense 11 4 4 3 16:14 16
6 Goncalense 11 5 1 5 11:9 16
7 Nova Cidade 11 4 4 3 9:9 16
8 Campo Grande 11 3 6 2 9:8 15
9 Artsul 11 3 4 4 11:10 13
10 AA Carapebus 11 3 3 5 6:13 12
11 Paduano EC 11 3 1 7 12:18 10
12 Friburguense 11 1 1 9 3:13 4
Promotion - Carioca B1 2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Carioca B2 2025 (Main)