Sport Picks

Stadium Background

AA Carapebus vs Campo Grande

Brazil Brazil

Carioca B2 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Vieira da Cunha D.
28' Event
Pinho R. M. J.
Own Goal
58' Event
Yury

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-3, with Campo Grande advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

7%
AA Carapebus
20%
Draws
73%
Campo Grande
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Campo Grande

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Campo Grande come out ahead of AA Carapebus on wins alone.
  • Model gives Campo Grande a 73% chance of winning this.
  • Campo Grande arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Campo Grande, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Campo Grande here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%
AA Carapebus Clean Sheet 18%
Campo Grande Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AA Carapebus Campo Grande
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 9 16
Draws 6 8
Losses 13 6
Goals Scored 1.11 1.37
Goals Conceded 1.21 0.77
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Carioca B1
Campo Grande vs AA Carapebus
1:0
Nov 1, 2025 Carioca B1
Campo Grande vs AA Carapebus
0:1
Nov 24, 2024 Carioca B2
Campo Grande vs AA Carapebus
1:0
Nov 20, 2024 Carioca B2
AA Carapebus vs Campo Grande
1:3
Oct 31, 2024 Carioca B2
Campo Grande vs AA Carapebus
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AA Carapebus Compare

Top Goalscorer Vieira da Cunha D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.53
Avg xA / game 0.34

Campo Grande Compare

Top Goalscorer Yury
1 Goals
Assists Leader Cauan
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AA Carapebus 12 / 100
Campo Grande 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AA Carapebus Campo Grande

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Campo Grande Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Campo Grande conceded in 63% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

AA Carapebus found the back of the net in 54% of recent matches (28 games).

AA Carapebus has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

AA Carapebus VS Campo Grande
0.5 Goals Scored 0.88
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 38%
38% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

AA Carapebus

(Home)
25 Sept
AA Carapebus
0 : 1
Sao Cristovao
19 Sept
Artsul
0 : 0
AA Carapebus
11 Sept
AA Carapebus
1 : 4
Duque de Caxias
05 Sept
Campo Grande
1 : 0
AA Carapebus
08 Nov
AA Carapebus
0 : 2
Duque de Caxias
Page 1 of 6

Campo Grande

(Away)
26 Sept
Serrano FC
1 : 1
Campo Grande
19 Sept
Campo Grande
2 : 1
Macae
12 Sept
Artsul
3 : 2
Campo Grande
05 Sept
Campo Grande
1 : 0
AA Carapebus
08 Nov
Goncalense
0 : 1
Campo Grande
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Campo Grande 4
AA Carapebus 1
Bonsucesso 5
Niteroiense 4
Final
Campo Grande 4
Bonsucesso 1