Sport Picks
Match Events
AI Match Summary
The Carioca B1 game between AA Carapebus and Duque de Caxias finished 1-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Duque de Caxias.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Look at the last few games and Duque de Caxias come out ahead of AA Carapebus on wins alone.
- 76% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | AA Carapebus | Duque de Caxias |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 9 | 12 |
| Draws | 6 | 6 |
| Losses | 13 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.11 | 0.93 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.21 | 1.07 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.94 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
AA Carapebus Compare
Duque de Caxias Compare
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.
AA Carapebus found the back of the net in 54% of recent matches (28 games).
Duque de Caxias has conceded goals in 59% of their last 29 outings.
Recent resilience: AA Carapebus stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
AA Carapebus
(Home)Duque de Caxias
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Niteroiense | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6:1 | 10 |
| 2 | Duque de Caxias | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8:3 | 9 |
| 3 | Goncalense | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6:3 | 8 |
| 4 | Artsul | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5:2 | 8 |
| 5 | Campo Grande | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6:5 | 7 |
| 6 | Goytacaz | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3:3 | 7 |
| 7 | Sao Cristovao | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3:3 | 5 |
| 8 | Serrano FC | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2:3 | 5 |
| 9 | Macae | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3:3 | 4 |
| 10 | Nova Cidade | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3:8 | 1 |
| 11 | AA Carapebus | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1:6 | 1 |
| 12 | Audax RJ | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2:8 | 0 |
