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AA Carapebus vs Sao Cristovao

Brazil Brazil

Carioca B1 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

68' Event
Patryck
77' Event
Teixeira J.

AI Match Summary

Sao Cristovao in this Carioca B1 2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sao Cristovao.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
AA Carapebus
30%
Draws
58%
Sao Cristovao
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sao Cristovao

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to AA Carapebus lately — more wins on the board than Sao Cristovao.
  • Sao Cristovao are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Carioca B1 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22.4%
AA Carapebus Clean Sheet 21%
Sao Cristovao Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AA Carapebus Sao Cristovao
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 9 8
Draws 6 8
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 1.11 0.78
Goals Conceded 1.21 0.89
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 25, 2026 Carioca B1
AA Carapebus vs Sao Cristovao
0:1
Oct 4, 2025 Carioca B1
AA Carapebus vs Sao Cristovao
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AA Carapebus Compare

Avg xG / game 0.53
Avg xA / game 0.34

Sao Cristovao Compare

Top Goalscorer Patryck
1 Goals
Assists Leader Teixeira J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AA Carapebus 24 / 100
Sao Cristovao 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AA Carapebus Sao Cristovao

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sao Cristovao Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 1.50 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: AA Carapebus scored in 54% of their last 28 outings.

Sao Cristovao's defensive record shows goals conceded in 59% of 27 matches.

AA Carapebus has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

AA Carapebus VS Sao Cristovao
0.38 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 1
38% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

AA Carapebus

(Home)
25 Sept
AA Carapebus
0 : 1
Sao Cristovao
19 Sept
Artsul
0 : 0
AA Carapebus
11 Sept
AA Carapebus
1 : 4
Duque de Caxias
05 Sept
Campo Grande
1 : 0
AA Carapebus
08 Nov
AA Carapebus
0 : 2
Duque de Caxias
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Sao Cristovao

(Away)
25 Sept
AA Carapebus
0 : 1
Sao Cristovao
19 Sept
Sao Cristovao
0 : 1
Duque de Caxias
12 Sept
Nova Cidade
2 : 2
Sao Cristovao
05 Sept
Sao Cristovao
0 : 0
Goncalense
08 Jul
CEAC/Araruama
2 : 1
Sao Cristovao
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bonsucesso 11 6 4 1 14:7 22
2 Sao Cristovao 11 5 4 2 14:8 19
3 Serrano FC 11 5 3 3 14:11 18
4 Duque de Caxias 11 5 3 3 10:9 18
5 Niteroiense 11 4 4 3 16:14 16
6 Goncalense 11 5 1 5 11:9 16
7 Nova Cidade 11 4 4 3 9:9 16
8 Campo Grande 11 3 6 2 9:8 15
9 Artsul 11 3 4 4 11:10 13
10 AA Carapebus 11 3 3 5 6:13 12
11 Paduano EC 11 3 1 7 12:18 10
12 Friburguense 11 1 1 9 3:13 4
Promotion - Carioca B1 2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Carioca B2 2025 (Main)