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AA Iguacu vs Samas

Brazil Brazil

Paranaense 3
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

AA Iguacu in this Paranaense 3 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored AA Iguacu.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
AA Iguacu
20%
Draws
22%
Samas
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: AA Iguacu

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • AA Iguacu have won more games recently than Samas.
  • AA Iguacu are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 8.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 4%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
AA Iguacu Clean Sheet 20%
Samas Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AA Iguacu Samas
Matches Played 30 6
Wins 10 1
Draws 7 0
Losses 13 5
Goals Scored 1.13 0.67
Goals Conceded 1.23 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.46 0.83
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2026 Paranaense 3
AA Iguacu vs Samas
2:0
Jul 26, 2026 Paranaense 3
Samas vs AA Iguacu
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AA Iguacu 85 / 100
Samas 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AA Iguacu Samas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AA Iguacu Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AA Iguacu found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).

Samas has conceded goals in 100% of their last 6 outings.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

AA Iguacu went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

AA Iguacu VS Samas
1.25 Goals Scored 0.67
1 Goals Conceded 1.67
88% Over 1.5 67%
38% Over 2.5 33%
0% Over 3.5 17%

Recent Form & Match History

AA Iguacu

(Home)
26 Sept
Parana S.T.C.
0 : 0
AA Iguacu
20 Sept
AA Iguacu
1 : 2
Parana S.T.C.
13 Sept
AA Iguacu
1 : 0
Iraty
06 Sept
Iraty
1 : 1
AA Iguacu
30 Aug
AA Iguacu
2 : 0
Samas
Page 1 of 6

Samas

(Away)
30 Aug
AA Iguacu
2 : 0
Samas
22 Aug
Samas
1 : 2
Hope Internacional
15 Aug
Samas
3 : 2
Iraty
08 Aug
Hope Internacional
1 : 0
Samas
01 Aug
Iraty
1 : 0
Samas
Page 1 of 2

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AA Iguacu 6 4 1 1 6:2 13
2 Hope Internacional 6 3 2 1 8:4 11
3 Iraty 6 2 1 3 7:9 7
4 Samas 6 1 0 5 4:10 3
Promotion - Paranaense 3 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Parana S.T.C. 6 3 1 2 6:5 10
2 CA Cambe 6 3 1 2 3:3 10
3 City London 6 3 0 3 6:3 9
4 Associacao Portuguesa Londrinense 6 2 0 4 4:8 6
Promotion - Paranaense 3 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Oeste Brasil 4 2 1 1 8:5 7
2 Uniao PR 4 2 1 1 7:6 7
3 Campo Mourao 4 0 2 2 2:6 2
Promotion - Paranaense 3 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams