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AA Itarare vs Maua FC

Brazil Brazil

Paulista A4 2019
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AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Paulista A4 2019 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
AA Itarare
20%
Draws
51%
Maua FC
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Maua FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • AA Itarare haven't matched Maua FC's recent run of results.
  • 51% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Paulista A4 2019 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
AA Itarare Clean Sheet 20%
Maua FC Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AA Itarare Maua FC
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 13
Draws 11 8
Losses 8 9
Goals Scored 1.47 1.47
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 0.99
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 3, 2019 Paulista A4
Maua FC vs AA Itarare
3:1
Jul 14, 2019 Paulista A4
AA Itarare vs Maua FC
1:1
Jun 3, 2018 Paulista A4
AA Itarare vs Maua FC
2:0
Apr 15, 2018 Paulista A4
Maua FC vs AA Itarare
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AA Itarare 32 / 100
Maua FC 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AA Itarare Maua FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Maua FC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AA Itarare's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Maua FC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

AA Itarare went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Maua FC
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 0.63
0% Over 1.5 38%
0% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

AA Itarare

(Home)
20 Aug
Gremio Prudente
2 : 1
AA Itarare
14 Aug
AA Itarare
0 : 3
Gremio Prudente
06 Aug
SKA Brasil
1 : 2
AA Itarare
31 Jul
AA Itarare
0 : 1
Itapirense
24 Jul
AA Itarare
3 : 3
Catanduva FC
Page 1 of 6

Maua FC

(Away)
04 Jul
Maua FC
0 : 3
Uniao Mogi
27 Jun
Uniao Mogi
2 : 3
Maua FC
20 Jun
Maua FC
6 : 0
Barcelona SP
14 Jun
Itaqua
5 : 1
Maua FC
06 Jun
Maua FC
0 : 0
Uniao Mogi
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Fernandopolis 6 3 3 0 9:6 12
2 Itapirense 6 2 3 1 7:6 9
3 Catanduva FC 6 1 4 1 7:6 7
4 Vocem 6 0 2 4 6:11 2
Promotion - Paulista A4 2019 (Third stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Independente SP 6 3 3 0 5:1 12
2 Francana 6 2 2 2 6:3 8
3 Assisense 6 1 3 2 2:5 6
4 Andradina Esporte Clube 6 1 2 3 5:9 5
Promotion - Paulista A4 2019 (Third stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Maua FC 6 3 3 0 7:3 12
2 Amparo SP 6 2 3 1 5:3 9
3 AA Itarare 6 1 2 3 6:9 5
4 XV de Jau 6 1 2 3 3:6 5
Promotion - Paulista A4 2019 (Third stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Marilia 6 3 3 0 13:5 12
2 Rio Branco SP 6 2 2 2 9:6 8
3 Guarulhos 6 2 1 3 9:10 7
4 Jacarei FC 6 1 2 3 7:17 5
Promotion - Paulista A4 2019 (Third stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Paulista 6 3 2 1 14:4 11
2 Tupa 6 3 2 1 10:5 11
3 Catanduvense 6 3 2 1 9:5 11
4 Uniao Suzano 6 0 0 6 1:20 0
Promotion - Paulista A4 2019 (Third stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Flamengo SP 6 3 3 0 11:2 12
2 Sao Jose EC 6 2 4 0 16:2 10
3 Matonense 6 1 2 3 3:18 5
4 Jose Bonifacio EC 6 1 1 4 3:11 4
Promotion - Paulista A4 2019 (Third stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams