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AA Itarare vs Paulista - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Paulista A4 2018
AA Itarare Logo

AA Itarare

0 - 2
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Paulista Logo

Paulista

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Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Paulista in this Paulista A4 2018 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Paulista.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
AA Itarare
20%
Draws
51%
Paulista
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Paulista

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

29% / Low Confidence
  • Paulista haven't matched AA Itarare's recent run of results.
  • 29% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Paulista A4 2018 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
AA Itarare Clean Sheet 20%
Paulista Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AA Itarare Paulista
Matches Played 34 35
Wins 15 13
Draws 11 8
Losses 8 14
Goals Scored 1.5 1.06
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 16, 2018 Paulista A4
AA Itarare vs Paulista
0:2
Sep 7, 2018 Paulista A4
Paulista vs AA Itarare
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AA Itarare 31 / 100
Paulista 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AA Itarare Paulista

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AA Itarare Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: AA Itarare scored in 82% of their last 34 outings.

Paulista let in goals in 71% of their last 35 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: AA Itarare remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Paulista
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

AA Itarare

(Home)
20 Aug
Gremio Prudente
2 : 1
AA Itarare
14 Aug
AA Itarare
0 : 3
Gremio Prudente
06 Aug
SKA Brasil
1 : 2
AA Itarare
31 Jul
AA Itarare
0 : 1
Itapirense
24 Jul
AA Itarare
3 : 3
Catanduva FC
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Paulista

(Away)
07 Sept
Paulista
2 : 3
Gremio Prudente
31 Aug
Gremio Prudente
4 : 0
Paulista
22 Aug
Primavera EC
1 : 2
Paulista
15 Aug
Paulista
1 : 0
Juventus-SP
09 Aug
Osasco Sporting
1 : 1
Paulista
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Inter de Bebedouro 6 3 2 1 7:4 11
2 Primavera EC 6 3 2 1 8:7 11
3 Paulista 6 3 0 3 8:6 9
4 AA Itarare 6 1 0 5 3:9 3
Promotion - Paulista A4 2018 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sao Jose EC 6 3 1 2 10:8 10
2 Francana 6 2 2 2 7:7 8
3 Comercial 6 2 2 2 7:7 8
4 Flamengo SP 6 2 1 3 5:7 7
Promotion - Paulista A4 2018 (Play Offs)