Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
The Paulista A4 2022 game between AA Itarare and SKA Brasil finished 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
20%
35%
45%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: SKA Brasil
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
45%
/ Medium Confidence
- SKA Brasil carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives SKA Brasil a 45% chance of winning this.
- Regular Paulista A4 2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
AA Itarare Clean Sheet 20%
SKA Brasil Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | AA Itarare | SKA Brasil |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 32 |
| Wins | 11 | 14 |
| Draws | 11 | 9 |
| Losses | 8 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.47 | 1.5 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.13 | 0.78 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.29 | 0.86 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 6, 2022 Paulista A4
SKA Brasil vs AA Itarare
1:2
Jul 3, 2022 Paulista A4
AA Itarare vs SKA Brasil
2:2
Aug 6, 2017 Paulista A4
AA Itarare vs SKA Brasil
0:1
Jul 29, 2017 Paulista A4
SKA Brasil vs AA Itarare
0:1
Jun 3, 2017 Paulista A4
SKA Brasil vs AA Itarare
1:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
AA Itarare 16 / 100
SKA Brasil 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AA Itarare SKA Brasil
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick SKA Brasil Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
AA Itarare's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.
SKA Brasil's defensive record shows goals conceded in 56% of 32 matches.
AA Itarare went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
- VS SKA Brasil
0 Goals Scored 0.63
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
AA Itarare
(Home) 20 Aug
Gremio Prudente
2 : 1 AA Itarare
14 Aug
AA Itarare
0 : 3 Gremio Prudente
06 Aug
SKA Brasil
1 : 2 AA Itarare
31 Jul
AA Itarare
0 : 1 Itapirense
24 Jul
AA Itarare
3 : 3 Catanduva FC
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14 Aug
AA Itarare
0 : 3 Gremio Prudente
31 Jul
AA Itarare
0 : 1 Itapirense
24 Jul
AA Itarare
3 : 3 Catanduva FC
03 Jul
AA Itarare
2 : 2 SKA Brasil
19 Jun
AA Itarare
3 : 0 Santacruzense
Page 1 of 3
SKA Brasil
(Away) 28 Apr
Francana
0 : 0 SKA Brasil
20 Apr
SKA Brasil
0 : 0 Francana
13 Apr
Sao-Carlense
1 : 1 SKA Brasil
06 Apr
SKA Brasil
1 : 0 Sao-Carlense
30 Mar
Nacional SP
0 : 2 SKA Brasil
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28 Apr
Francana
0 : 0 SKA Brasil
13 Apr
Sao-Carlense
1 : 1 SKA Brasil
30 Mar
Nacional SP
0 : 2 SKA Brasil
20 Mar
Sao-Carlense
0 : 0 SKA Brasil
09 Mar
America SP
0 : 2 SKA Brasil
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sao-Carlense | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 12:4 | 16 |
| 2 | Penapolense | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 13:9 | 8 |
| 3 | Paulista | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4:6 | 5 |
| 4 | Manthiqueira | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5:15 | 4 |
Promotion - Paulista A4 2022 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gremio Prudente | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 12:4 | 14 |
| 2 | XV de Jau | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 9:7 | 12 |
| 3 | Maua FC | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4:8 | 5 |
| 4 | Rio Branco SP | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 6:12 | 3 |
Promotion - Paulista A4 2022 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flamengo SP | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 9:2 | 16 |
| 2 | Inter de Bebedouro | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7:5 | 8 |
| 3 | Jacarei FC | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4:8 | 5 |
| 4 | Taquaritinga | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3:8 | 4 |
Promotion - Paulista A4 2022 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Itapirense | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 8:5 | 13 |
| 2 | AA Itarare | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 10:8 | 9 |
| 3 | Catanduva FC | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 13:11 | 7 |
| 4 | SKA Brasil | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 8:15 | 2 |
Promotion - Paulista A4 2022 (Play Offs)
