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Aalborg Freja vs Randers FC

Denmark Denmark

Landspokal Cup 2012/2013
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Aalborg Freja play Randers FC in the Landspokal Cup 2012/2013. It looks like a close match. Recently, Aalborg Freja averaged 1.25 goals scored and 2.38 conceded. Randers FC averaged 1.17 goals scored and 1.53 conceded. In past meetings, Aalborg Freja won 0, Randers FC won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Aug 29, 2012 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.10 for Aalborg Freja and 1.30 for Randers FC. This points to a Randers FC double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Aalborg Freja
20%
Draws
40%
Randers FC
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Randers FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / Medium Confidence
  • Aalborg Freja picked up more points recently compared to Randers FC.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.10 vs 1.30 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 64%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 79%
Over 2.5 Goals 64%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 47%
Aalborg Freja Clean Sheet 19%
Randers FC Clean Sheet 14%
First Half Goal 71%
Second Half Goal 75%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aalborg Freja Randers FC
Matches Played 16 30
Wins 7 8
Draws 0 9
Losses 9 13
Goals Scored 1.25 1.17
Goals Conceded 2.38 1.53

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2012 Betano Pokalen
Aalborg Freja vs Randers FC
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aalborg Freja Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Randers FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Cramer M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aalborg Freja 40 / 100
Randers FC 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aalborg Freja Randers FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Randers FC or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +25.2%
3.13
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +10.1%
1.72
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Aalborg Freja attacking → ← attacking Randers FC

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aalborg Freja scored in 50% of their last 16 games.

Randers FC let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Aalborg Freja went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Randers FC lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

21 Points in last 5 33
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.50
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00