Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Aalborg vs Aarhus Fremad

Denmark Denmark

1st Division 2025/2026 Aalborg Portland Park, Aalborg
Our Tip

Match Events

6'
Hjaltason O.
7'
Agnarsson M.
8' Event
Helenius N.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The 1st Division 2025/2026 game between Aalborg and Aarhus Fremad finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Aalborg.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Aalborg
35%
Draws
45%
Aarhus Fremad
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Aarhus Fremad

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Aarhus Fremad carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Aalborg Clean Sheet 17%
Aarhus Fremad Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aalborg Aarhus Fremad
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 14
Draws 9 7
Losses 10 8
Goals Scored 1.41 1.41
Goals Conceded 1.55 0.79
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 31, 2026 1st Division
Aarhus Fremad vs Aalborg
1:2
May 22, 2026 1st Division
Aarhus Fremad vs Aalborg
5:0
Apr 18, 2026 1st Division
Aalborg vs Aarhus Fremad
3:1
Mar 6, 2026 1st Division
Aalborg vs Aarhus Fremad
0:1
Aug 29, 2025 1st Division
Aarhus Fremad vs Aalborg
5:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aalborg Compare

Top Goalscorer Normann K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Adedeji J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Aarhus Fremad Compare

Top Goalscorer Kaastrup M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aalborg 36 / 100
Aarhus Fremad 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aalborg Aarhus Fremad

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aarhus Fremad Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Aalborg found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).

Solid form: Aalborg remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Aarhus Fremad let in goals in 55% of their last 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Aalborg VS Aarhus Fremad
1.25 Goals Scored 1.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.63
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Aalborg

(Home)
12 Sept
Hvidovre IF
2 : 2
Aalborg
05 Sept
AB Copenhagen
0 : 2
Aalborg
29 Aug
Aalborg
0 : 0
Koge
25 Aug
Vatanspor
2 : 1
Aalborg
21 Aug
Hobro
2 : 1
Aalborg
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Aarhus Fremad

(Away)
16 Sept
Horsholm-Usserod
1 : 2
Aarhus Fremad
11 Sept
Vendsyssel FF
0 : 0
Aarhus Fremad
06 Sept
Aarhus Fremad
2 : 1
Kolding IF
30 Aug
Aarhus Fremad
0 : 0
Vejle
25 Aug
Saedding/Guldager IF
0 : 1
Aarhus Fremad
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
7 Aalborg 32 12 10 10 50:47 46
8 Aarhus Fremad 32 11 11 10 52:37 44
9 Hobro 32 11 9 12 40:43 42
10 Koge 32 11 7 14 42:48 40
11 Boldklubben 1893 32 10 7 15 44:58 37
12 Middelfart 32 3 6 23 32:77 15
Relegation - 2nd Division (Main)