Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Aalborg vs Hillerod

Denmark Denmark

1st Division Aalborg Portland Park, Aalborg
Our Tip

Match Events

15'
Jasson A.
60'
Sub
Jalaei S. In: Munck M.
Out: Jalaei S.
60'
Sub
Normann K. In: Kubel M.
Out: Normann K.

AI Match Summary

The 1st Division game between Aalborg and Hillerod finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Aalborg.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Aalborg
35%
Draws
37%
Hillerod
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Hillerod

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Aalborg carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hillerod are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular 1st Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Aalborg Clean Sheet 10%
Hillerod Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aalborg Hillerod
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 8
Draws 10 11
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 1.43 1.6
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 24, 2026 1st Division
Aalborg vs Hillerod
1:0
Feb 27, 2026 1st Division
Aalborg vs Hillerod
3:3
Jul 26, 2025 1st Division
Hillerod vs Aalborg
2:2
Jul 4, 2025 Club Friendly
Aalborg vs Hillerod
4:1
Mar 16, 2024 1st Division
Hillerod vs Aalborg
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aalborg Compare

Top Goalscorer Borsting F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Hillerod Compare

Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aalborg 22 / 100
Hillerod 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aalborg Hillerod

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hillerod Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:5
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aalborg's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.

Hillerod let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Solid form: Aalborg remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Aalborg VS Hillerod
1.25 Goals Scored 3.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Aalborg

(Home)
20 Sept
Aalborg
2 : 2
Vendsyssel FF
12 Sept
Hvidovre IF
2 : 2
Aalborg
05 Sept
AB Copenhagen
0 : 2
Aalborg
29 Aug
Aalborg
0 : 0
Koge
25 Aug
Vatanspor
2 : 1
Aalborg
Page 1 of 6

Hillerod

(Away)
18 Sept
Kolding IF
1 : 1
Hillerod
12 Sept
Hillerod
1 : 0
AB Copenhagen
09 Sept
Vanlose
2 : 1
Hillerod
04 Sept
Koge
1 : 1
Hillerod
30 Aug
Hillerod
3 : 1
Hobro
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hvidovre IF 9 6 3 0 18:9 21
2 Vejle 8 5 3 0 20:11 18
3 Fredericia 8 3 4 1 10:4 13
4 Aarhus Fremad 9 3 4 2 10:9 13
5 Hobro 8 4 1 3 10:11 13
6 Aalborg 8 3 3 2 9:9 12
7 AB Copenhagen 9 2 3 4 11:10 9
8 Hillerod 9 2 3 4 13:14 9
9 Vendsyssel FF 8 2 3 3 8:12 9
10 Kolding IF 9 1 5 3 10:12 8
11 Esbjerg 9 1 2 6 10:19 5
12 Koge 8 0 4 4 6:15 4
Promotion - 1st Division (Promotion Group)
Relegation - 1st Division (Relegation Group)