Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Aalborg vs Hillerod

Denmark Denmark

1st Division Aalborg Portland Park, Aalborg
Our Tip

Match Events

15'
Jasson A.
60'
Sub
Jalaei S. In: Munck M.
Out: Jalaei S.
60'
Sub
Normann K. In: Kubel M.
Out: Normann K.

AI Match Summary

The 1st Division game between Aalborg and Hillerod finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Aalborg.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Aalborg
17%
Draws
13%
Hillerod
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Aalborg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Aalborg carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Aalborg are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Regular 1st Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Aalborg Clean Sheet 18%
Hillerod Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aalborg Hillerod
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 10 6
Draws 9 11
Losses 8 12
Goals Scored 1.25 0.75
Goals Conceded 1.88 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 24, 2026 1st Division
Aalborg vs Hillerod
1:0
Feb 27, 2026 1st Division
Aalborg vs Hillerod
3:3
Jul 26, 2025 1st Division
Hillerod vs Aalborg
2:2
Jul 4, 2025 Club Friendly
Aalborg vs Hillerod
4:1
Mar 16, 2024 1st Division
Hillerod vs Aalborg
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aalborg Compare

Top Goalscorer Borsting F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Hillerod Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aalborg 67 / 100
Hillerod 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aalborg Hillerod

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AAL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hillerod's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.

Aalborg scored in 78% of their last 27 games.

Solid form: Aalborg remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Aalborg VS Hillerod
1.25 Goals Scored 0.75
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Aalborg

(Home)
24 Jul
Aalborg
1 : 0
Hillerod
17 Jul
Aalborg
1 : 2
Silkeborg
08 Jul
Aalborg
2 : 2
Randers FC
03 Jul
Aalborg
3 : 1
Viborg
30 May
Aalborg
1 : 0
Koge
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Hillerod

(Away)
24 Jul
Aalborg
1 : 0
Hillerod
18 Jul
Hillerod
0 : 1
Lyngby
11 Jul
Vejle
1 : 1
Hillerod
04 Jul
Odense
2 : 0
Hillerod
31 May
Hillerod
2 : 1
Hvidovre IF
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Fredericia11003:03
2Aarhus Fremad11002:13
3Aalborg11001:03
4Hvidovre IF10102:21
5AB Copenhagen10102:21
6Vejle10102:21
7Vendsyssel FF10102:21
8Kolding IF10101:11
9Esbjerg10101:11
10Hobro10011:20
11Hillerod10010:10
12Koge10010:30
Promotion - 1st Division (Promotion Group)
Relegation - 1st Division (Relegation Group)