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Aalen vs Backnang

Germany Germany

Oberliga Baden-Württemberg 2025/2026 OSTALB ARENA, Aalen
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Aalen in this Oberliga Baden-Württemberg 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Aalen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Aalen
6%
Draws
4%
Backnang
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Aalen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Aalen lately — more wins on the board than Backnang.
  • Model gives Aalen a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Oberliga Baden-Württemberg 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).
  • Aalen have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 97%
Over 1.5 Goals 87%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 60%
Over 4.5 Goals 27%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Aalen Clean Sheet 20%
Backnang Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aalen Backnang
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 22 11
Draws 4 6
Losses 4 14
Goals Scored 2.88 1.43
Goals Conceded 0.88 2.14
Expected Goals (xG) 2.88 1.43
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 2.14

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2026 Oberliga Baden-Württemberg
Aalen vs Backnang
4:1
Nov 16, 2025 Oberliga Baden-Württemberg
Backnang vs Aalen
1:3
Mar 8, 2025 Oberliga Baden-Württemberg
Backnang vs Aalen
2:1
Aug 31, 2024 Oberliga Baden-Württemberg
Aalen vs Backnang
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aalen 85 / 100
Backnang 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aalen Backnang

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AAL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aalen found the back of the net in 97% of recent matches (30 games).

Backnang's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 31 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.25 goals when they meet.

Aalen went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Aalen VS Backnang
2.88 Goals Scored 1.43
0.88 Goals Conceded 2.14
88% Over 1.5 86%
75% Over 2.5 86%
63% Over 3.5 57%

Recent Form & Match History

Aalen

(Home)
21 Jul
Aalen
2 : 2
Sonnenhof Grossaspach
15 Jul
Dorfmerkingen
0 : 2
Aalen
11 Jul
FC Normannia Gmund
1 : 2
Aalen
08 Jul
Aalen
3 : 1
Wurzburger Kickers
30 May
Aalen
4 : 1
Backnang
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Backnang

(Away)
30 May
Aalen
4 : 1
Backnang
23 May
Backnang
1 : 0
Goppinger
16 May
FC Normannia Gmund
1 : 2
Backnang
08 May
Backnang
0 : 3
Bietigheim-Bissingen
30 Apr
FC Nottingen
1 : 3
Backnang
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Aalen34265387:2483
2VfR Mannheim34209581:3469
3FC Nottingen341841282:6158
4Ravensburg34169961:5257
5TSV Essingen341412854:5854
6Oberachern341661254:6254
71. CfR Pforzheim3412121068:6148
8Reutlingen3412111156:5047
9FC 08 Villingen3412111155:5647
10Karlsruher II3411101354:6143
11Backnang341261650:6742
12Turkish SV Singen341241855:8140
13FC Normannia Gmund349121353:5139
14Turkspor Neckarsulm341161752:6139
15Goppinger34991653:5336
16Hollenbach34981756:6935
17Bietigheim-Bissingen347121554:8133
18Denzlingen34542535:7819
Promotion - Regionalliga Sudwest (Main)
Promotion - Oberliga Hessen 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)