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Grenada vs Cuba - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

North & Central America North & Central America

CONCACAF Nations League SKNFA technical centre, Basseterre
Our Tip

Match Events

17'
Sub
Akins L. In: Isaac J.
Out: Akins L.
19' Event
Sandiford G.
Own Goal
38'
Gabriel J. P.

AI Match Summary

Cuba in this CONCACAF Nations League matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Cuba.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Grenada
30%
Draws
52%
Cuba
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Cuba

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Grenada average 1.28 goals a game right now, well clear of Cuba's 1.27.
  • 52% — that's where the model lands on Cuba taking it.
  • Regular CONCACAF Nations League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.6%
Grenada Clean Sheet 12%
Cuba Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Grenada Cuba
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 9 9
Draws 4 9
Losses 16 12
Goals Scored 1.28 1.27
Goals Conceded 2.14 1.77
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 25, 2026 CONCACAF Nations League
Grenada vs Cuba
0:3
Oct 11, 2025 Friendly International
Grenada vs Cuba
2:0
Oct 13, 2018 CONCACAF Nations League
Grenada vs Cuba
0:2
Dec 5, 2010 Caribbean Cup
Grenada vs Cuba
0:1
Nov 30, 2010 Caribbean Cup
Cuba vs Grenada
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Grenada Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Cuba Compare

Top Goalscorer Diaz D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Reinoso D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Grenada 10 / 100
Cuba 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Grenada Cuba

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cuba Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cuba let in goals in 60% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Grenada scored in 52% of their last 29 games.

Recent resilience: Grenada stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Grenada VS Cuba
1.25 Goals Scored 1.63
1.88 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Grenada

(Home)
06 Oct
Grenada
1 : 4
Bonaire
03 Oct
Bonaire
2 : 3
Grenada
29 Sept
Saint Kitts and Nevis
3 : 0
Grenada
25 Sept
Grenada
0 : 3
Cuba
16 May
Ireland
5 : 0
Grenada
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Cuba

(Away)
05 Oct
Cuba
2 : 2
Saint Kitts and Nevis
02 Oct
Saint Kitts and Nevis
3 : 3
Cuba
28 Sept
Cuba
2 : 0
Bonaire
25 Sept
Grenada
0 : 3
Cuba
29 Mar
Dominican Republic
1 : 1
Cuba
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