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Aalen vs Hollenbach

Germany Germany

Oberliga Baden-Württemberg 2025/2026 OSTALB ARENA, Aalen
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AI Match Summary

The Oberliga Baden-Württemberg 2025/2026 game between Aalen and Hollenbach finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Aalen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%
Aalen
15%
Draws
20%
Hollenbach
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Aalen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Aalen carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Aalen's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Oberliga Baden-Württemberg 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Aalen Clean Sheet 20%
Hollenbach Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aalen Hollenbach
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 18 9
Draws 7 6
Losses 3 15
Goals Scored 2.36 1.57
Goals Conceded 0.89 2
Expected Goals (xG) 2.75 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 4, 2026 Oberliga Baden-Württemberg
Aalen vs Hollenbach
2:0
Sep 20, 2025 Oberliga Baden-Württemberg
Hollenbach vs Aalen
2:4
Apr 26, 2025 Oberliga Baden-Württemberg
Hollenbach vs Aalen
2:2
Oct 12, 2024 Oberliga Baden-Württemberg
Aalen vs Hollenbach
1:1
Feb 3, 2024 Club Friendly
Aalen vs Hollenbach
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aalen 85 / 100
Hollenbach 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aalen Hollenbach

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aalen Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aalen found the back of the net in 93% of recent matches (28 games).

Defensive concern: Hollenbach conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Aalen stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Aalen VS Hollenbach
2 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 3.5
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Aalen

(Home)
13 Sept
VfR Mannheim
0 : 0
Aalen
08 Sept
Aalen
2 : 0
Ulm
05 Sept
Aalen
2 : 0
Eintracht Trier
30 Aug
Mainz II
1 : 3
Aalen
22 Aug
Aalen
0 : 3
Eintracht Frankfurt II
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Hollenbach

(Away)
25 Jul
Hollenbach
0 : 5
VfB Stuttgart
04 Jul
Hollenbach
0 : 4
Ansbach
30 May
Hollenbach
4 : 3
1. CfR Pforzheim
23 May
Turkspor Neckarsulm
2 : 0
Hollenbach
16 May
Hollenbach
1 : 2
FC 08 Villingen
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aalen 34 26 5 3 87:24 83
2 VfR Mannheim 34 20 9 5 81:34 69
3 FC Nottingen 34 18 4 12 82:61 58
4 Ravensburg 34 16 9 9 61:52 57
5 TSV Essingen 34 14 12 8 54:58 54
6 Oberachern 34 16 6 12 54:62 54
7 1. CfR Pforzheim 34 12 12 10 68:61 48
8 Reutlingen 34 12 11 11 56:50 47
9 FC 08 Villingen 34 12 11 11 55:56 47
10 Karlsruher II 34 11 10 13 54:61 43
11 Backnang 34 12 6 16 50:67 42
12 Turkish SV Singen 34 12 4 18 55:81 40
13 FC Normannia Gmund 34 9 12 13 53:51 39
14 Turkspor Neckarsulm 34 11 6 17 52:61 39
15 Goppinger 34 9 9 16 53:53 36
16 Hollenbach 34 9 8 17 56:69 35
17 Bietigheim-Bissingen 34 7 12 15 54:81 33
18 Denzlingen 34 5 4 25 35:78 19
Promotion - Regionalliga Sudwest (Main)
Promotion - Oberliga Hessen 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)