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Aalesund 2 vs Surnadal

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 2 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

25' Event
Ytterland T.
41' Event
Boe J.
54' Event
Leikanger T.

AI Match Summary

Aalesund 2 in this Division 3 - Group 2 2025 matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Aalesund 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Aalesund 2
28%
Draws
50%
Surnadal
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Surnadal

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Aalesund 2 have won more games recently than Surnadal.
  • Win probability leans Surnadal's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Aalesund 2 have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Aalesund 2 Clean Sheet 10%
Surnadal Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aalesund 2 Surnadal
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 12 3
Draws 3 7
Losses 19 20
Goals Scored 1.88 1.25
Goals Conceded 3.13 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.13 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 17, 2025 Division 3 - Group 2
Aalesund 2 vs Surnadal
4:0
Jun 23, 2025 Division 3 - Group 2
Surnadal vs Aalesund 2
5:0
Oct 22, 2016 Division 3 - Group 8
Surnadal vs Aalesund 2
1:6
Jun 25, 2016 Division 3 - Group 8
Aalesund 2 vs Surnadal
6:1
Aug 19, 2013 Division 3 - Group 9
Aalesund 2 vs Surnadal
8:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aalesund 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Ytterland T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Boe J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Surnadal Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aalesund 2 22 / 100
Surnadal 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aalesund 2 Surnadal

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SUR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Surnadal let in goals in 93% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 6.20 goals as a typical output.

Aalesund 2 found the back of the net in 74% of recent matches (34 games).

Solid form: Aalesund 2 remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Aalesund 2 VS Surnadal
1.88 Goals Scored 1.25
3.13 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 50%
75% Over 3.5 50%