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Aalesund U19 vs Lillestrom U19 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Norway Norway

Nasjonal U19 CL
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Tryggestad M.
53' Event
Fadil W.
63' Event
Pedersen T.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 6-0. This leg finished 3-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Aalesund U19
15%
Draws
42%
Lillestrom U19
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Aalesund U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Lillestrom U19 lately — more wins on the board than Aalesund U19.
  • Lillestrom U19 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Lillestrom U19 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Lillestrom U19, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 91%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 91%
Over 3.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.2%
Aalesund U19 Clean Sheet 10%
Lillestrom U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aalesund U19 Lillestrom U19
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 14 16
Draws 5 5
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 1.73 2.69
Goals Conceded 2.53 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 2.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 6, 2026 Nasjonal U19 CL
Lillestrom U19 vs Aalesund U19
6:0
Jul 28, 2026 Nasjonal U19 CL
Aalesund U19 vs Lillestrom U19
3:1
Mar 14, 2026 Nasjonal U19 CL
Aalesund U19 vs Lillestrom U19
0:5
May 13, 2017 Junior U19
Aalesund U19 vs Lillestrom U19
1:1
Jul 9, 2013 Junior Elite Tournament
Aalesund U19 vs Lillestrom U19
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aalesund U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Tryggestad M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pedersen T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Lillestrom U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Fadil W.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.33
Avg xA / game 1.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aalesund U19 10 / 100
Lillestrom U19 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aalesund U19 Lillestrom U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lillestrom U19 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lillestrom U19 has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Attacking prowess: Aalesund U19 scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Recent resilience: Aalesund U19 stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Aalesund U19 VS Lillestrom U19
1.88 Goals Scored 2.88
2.25 Goals Conceded 2.13
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Aalesund U19

(Home)
06 Aug
Lillestrom U19
6 : 0
Aalesund U19
28 Jul
Aalesund U19
3 : 1
Lillestrom U19
29 Apr
Haugesund U19
1 : 2
Aalesund U19
22 Mar
Sarpsborg 08 U19
1 : 3
Aalesund U19
14 Mar
Aalesund U19
0 : 5
Lillestrom U19
Page 1 of 6

Lillestrom U19

(Away)
08 Oct
Rosenborg U19
2 : 1
Lillestrom U19
26 Aug
Lillestrom U19
4 : 1
Tromso U19
20 Aug
Tromso U19
1 : 3
Lillestrom U19
06 Aug
Lillestrom U19
6 : 0
Aalesund U19
28 Jul
Aalesund U19
3 : 1
Lillestrom U19
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Lillestrom U19 -
TBD -
Haugesund U19 1
Aalesund U19 2
Tromso U19 -
TBD -
Stromsgodset U19 6
Sandnes Ulf U19 2
Ham-Kam U19 -
TBD -
Odds BK U19 4
Kfum Oslo U19 0
Rosenborg U19 -
TBD -
Molde U19 3
Moss U19 2
Stabaek U19 -
TBD -
Sarpsborg 08 U19 1
Fredrikstad U19 2
Sandefjord U19 -
TBD -
Asane U19 4
Sogndal U19 0
Lyn U19 -
TBD -
Viking U19 4
Kristiansund U19 3
Brann U19 -
TBD -
Valerenga U19 2
Kongsvinger U19 0
1/8-finals
Lillestrom U19 7
Aalesund U19 3
Tromso U19 3
Stromsgodset U19 2
Ham-Kam U19 10
Odds BK U19 3
Rosenborg U19 6
Molde U19 2
Stabaek U19 3
Fredrikstad U19 6
Sandefjord U19 3
Asane U19 9
Lyn U19 4
Viking U19 10
Brann U19 4
Valerenga U19 2
Quarter-finals
Lillestrom U19 7
Tromso U19 2
Ham-Kam U19 1
Rosenborg U19 9
Fredrikstad U19 6
Asane U19 5
Viking U19 0
Brann U19 5
Semi-finals
Lillestrom U19 1
Rosenborg U19 2
Fredrikstad U19 0
Brann U19 0
Final
TBD -
TBD -