Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Aalesund vs Brann

Norway Norway

Eliteserien Color Line Stadion, Ålesund
Our Tip

Match Events

21'
Andresen M.
26' Event
Reed M.
27'
Sub
Andresen M. In: Nesso K.
Out: Andresen M.

AI Match Summary

The Eliteserien game between Aalesund and Brann finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Aalesund.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Aalesund
15%
Draws
37%
Brann
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Aalesund

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Aalesund haven't matched Brann's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Aalesund's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Eliteserien form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Brann here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 84.2%
Aalesund Clean Sheet 10%
Brann Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aalesund Brann
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 10 15
Draws 9 4
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 2.27 2
Goals Conceded 2.07 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 2.31 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 20, 2026 Eliteserien
Aalesund vs Brann
2:1
Apr 22, 2026 NM Cup
Brann vs Aalesund
2:1
Aug 20, 2023 Eliteserien
Brann vs Aalesund
5:1
Jun 7, 2023 NM Cup
Aalesund vs Brann
3:4
Jun 4, 2023 Eliteserien
Aalesund vs Brann
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aalesund Compare

Top Goalscorer Reed M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Melland H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.78
Avg xA / game 1.16

Brann Compare

Top Goalscorer Holm N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aalesund 83 / 100
Brann 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aalesund Brann

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aalesund Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aalesund found the back of the net in 93% of recent matches (30 games).

Brann's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.60 goals per match.

Aalesund went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Aalesund VS Brann
3.63 Goals Scored 2
1.75 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Aalesund

(Home)
19 Sept
Molde
1 : 2
Aalesund
16 Sept
Forde
3 : 4
Aalesund
13 Sept
KFUM Oslo
2 : 1
Aalesund
04 Sept
Aalesund
2 : 0
Start
30 Aug
Viking
2 : 1
Aalesund
Page 1 of 6

Brann

(Away)
20 Sept
Brann
2 : 1
Bodo/Glimt
16 Sept
OS TF
1 : 2
Brann
13 Sept
Start
2 : 0
Brann
05 Sept
Brann
1 : 2
Lillestrom
30 Aug
Sandefjord
0 : 0
Brann
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Viking 21 16 2 3 54:20 50
2 Bodo/Glimt 21 16 2 3 53:19 50
3 Tromso 21 11 5 5 40:29 38
4 Molde 21 11 3 7 44:32 36
5 Rosenborg 21 10 3 8 39:30 33
6 Lillestrom 21 10 2 9 28:29 32
7 Brann 21 9 2 10 39:32 29
8 Fredrikstad 21 8 4 9 25:32 28
9 Sarpsborg 08 21 6 7 8 24:29 25
10 KFUM Oslo 21 7 4 10 25:35 25
11 Sandefjord 21 6 5 10 21:27 23
12 Valerenga 21 6 5 10 34:43 23
13 Ham-Kam 21 6 5 10 29:44 23
14 Aalesund 21 4 9 8 33:46 21
15 Kristiansund 21 5 4 12 21:40 19
16 Start 21 4 4 13 22:44 16
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Eliteserien (Relegation)
Relegation - OBOS-ligaen 2027 (Main)