Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Aalesund vs Tromso

Norway Norway

Eliteserien Color Line Stadion, Ålesund
Sun, Aug 2, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Aalesund host Tromso in the Eliteserien. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Recent numbers: Aalesund at 1.75 goals for, 1.88 against; Tromso at 1.38 for, 1.75 against. Head-to-head, Aalesund have won 2 to Tromso's 1, with 2 draws. They last met on May 25, 2026, ending 1:1. Model xG sits at 1.75 vs 1.63, favoring Tromso. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Aalesund
6%
Draws
90%
Tromso
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Tromso

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Tromso have won more games recently than Aalesund.
  • Tromso are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Eliteserien form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Aalesund Clean Sheet 14%
Tromso Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aalesund Tromso
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 17
Draws 7 6
Losses 11 6
Goals Scored 1.75 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.88 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 25, 2026 Eliteserien
Tromso vs Aalesund
1:1
Mar 8, 2025 Club Friendly
Tromso vs Aalesund
0:1
Oct 8, 2023 Eliteserien
Tromso vs Aalesund
1:2
Jun 11, 2023 Eliteserien
Aalesund vs Tromso
2:3
Nov 13, 2022 Eliteserien
Tromso vs Aalesund
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aalesund 10 / 100
Tromso 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aalesund Tromso

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TRO Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aalesund scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Aalesund stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Tromso has conceded goals in 48% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Aalesund VS Tromso
1.75 Goals Scored 1.38
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Aalesund

(Home)
16 Jul
Valerenga
6 : 1
Aalesund
11 Jul
Aalesund
2 : 2
Molde
27 Jun
Kristiansund
0 : 3
Aalesund
29 May
Aalesund
2 : 2
Ham-Kam
25 May
Tromso
1 : 1
Aalesund
Page 1 of 6

Tromso

(Away)
23 Jul
Tromso
0 : 1
Hradec Kralove
18 Jul
Ham-Kam
1 : 4
Tromso
11 Jul
Tromso
4 : 0
Valerenga
25 Jun
Tromso
4 : 1
Orgryte
29 May
KFUM Oslo
0 : 0
Tromso
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Viking13110233:1333
2Bodo/Glimt14102234:1132
3Tromso1594226:1531
4Lillestrom1481522:1425
5Molde1362521:1720
6Brann1461728:2219
7Sarpsborg 081353514:1618
8Ham-Kam1353520:2518
9Valerenga1352619:2217
10Rosenborg1343615:1815
11Sandefjord1343613:1715
12Fredrikstad1342715:2314
13KFUM Oslo1333713:2112
14Aalesund1326518:2812
15Kristiansund1333711:2112
16Start1414914:337
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Eliteserien (Relegation)
Relegation - OBOS-ligaen 2027 (Main)