Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Aalesund W vs Haugesund W

Norway Norway

Toppserien Women Color Line Stadion, Ålesund
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Sunde K.
Assist: Gashi L.
5' Event
Sunde K.
Assist: Loennecken T.
37'
Rasmussen A.

AI Match Summary

The Toppserien Women game between Aalesund W and Haugesund W finished 5-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Aalesund W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

69%
Aalesund W
20%
Draws
11%
Haugesund W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Aalesund W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Aalesund W come out ahead of Haugesund W on wins alone.
  • Model gives Aalesund W a 69% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Toppserien Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Aalesund W Clean Sheet 20%
Haugesund W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aalesund W Haugesund W
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 23 11
Draws 1 4
Losses 4 14
Goals Scored 2.79 1.76
Goals Conceded 1 2.1
Expected Goals (xG) 2.69 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 Toppserien Women
Aalesund W vs Haugesund W
5:1
Apr 1, 2026 Toppserien Women
Haugesund W vs Aalesund W
3:1
Feb 17, 2026 Club Friendly Women
Aalesund W vs Haugesund W
3:0
Aug 31, 2025 Division 1 Women
Haugesund W vs Aalesund W
2:1
May 11, 2025 Division 1 Women
Aalesund W vs Haugesund W
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aalesund W Compare

Top Goalscorer Sunde K.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Luthcke C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.07
Avg xA / game 1.34

Haugesund W Compare

Top Goalscorer Natvik I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aalesund W 85 / 100
Haugesund W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aalesund W Haugesund W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aalesund W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aalesund W found the back of the net in 96% of recent matches (28 games).

Defensive concern: Haugesund W conceded in 90% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Aalesund W stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Aalesund W VS Haugesund W
3.25 Goals Scored 1.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Aalesund W

(Home)
20 Sept
Aalesund W
4 : 1
Molde W
11 Sept
Bodo/Glimt W
0 : 2
Aalesund W
06 Sept
Brann W
3 : 1
Aalesund W
31 Aug
Honefoss W
0 : 1
Aalesund W
22 Aug
Aalesund W
5 : 1
Haugesund W
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Haugesund W

(Away)
17 Sept
Valerenga W
2 : 1
Haugesund W
13 Sept
Haugesund W
0 : 1
Rosenborg W
22 Aug
Aalesund W
5 : 1
Haugesund W
15 Aug
Haugesund W
1 : 1
Stabaek W
20 Jun
Molde W
3 : 3
Haugesund W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brann W 16 14 2 0 52:4 44
2 Aalesund W 16 13 1 2 41:15 40
3 Rosenborg W 16 11 3 2 31:18 36
4 Valerenga W 16 10 1 5 41:24 31
5 Stabaek W 16 7 3 6 33:19 24
6 Lyn W 16 6 4 6 29:22 22
7 Molde W 16 5 3 8 23:29 18
8 LSK Kvinner W 16 4 3 9 22:31 15
9 Haugesund W 16 4 3 9 20:39 15
10 Honefoss W 16 3 3 10 12:29 12
11 Roa W 17 2 5 10 16:36 11
12 Bodo/Glimt W 17 1 3 13 11:65 6
Promotion - UEFA Europa Cup Women (Qualification)
Relegation - Toppserien Women (Relegation)
Relegation - Division 1 Women 2027 (Main)