Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Aalesund W vs Honefoss W

Norway Norway

Toppserien Women Color Line Stadion, Ålesund
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Nodland I.
Assist: Sunde K.
25'
Masdal S.
41'
Skretting I.

AI Match Summary

The Toppserien Women game between Aalesund W and Honefoss W finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Aalesund W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Aalesund W
30%
Draws
23%
Honefoss W
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Aalesund W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Aalesund W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Aalesund W are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Regular Toppserien Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Aalesund W Clean Sheet 20%
Honefoss W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aalesund W Honefoss W
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 24 9
Draws 2 5
Losses 4 15
Goals Scored 2.7 1.21
Goals Conceded 1 1.86
Expected Goals (xG) 2.44 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 31, 2026 Toppserien Women
Honefoss W vs Aalesund W
0:1
May 15, 2026 Toppserien Women
Aalesund W vs Honefoss W
2:0
May 21, 2025 Norway Cup Women
Aalesund W vs Honefoss W
2:3
Nov 2, 2024 Division 1 Women
Honefoss W vs Aalesund W
2:2
Oct 13, 2024 Division 1 Women
Aalesund W vs Honefoss W
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aalesund W Compare

Top Goalscorer Nodland I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kroken I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.88
Avg xA / game 1.22

Honefoss W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aalesund W 67 / 100
Honefoss W 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aalesund W Honefoss W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aalesund W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Aalesund W scored in 97% of their last 30 outings.

Honefoss W has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Aalesund W went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Aalesund W VS Honefoss W
3.13 Goals Scored 0.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Aalesund W

(Home)
26 Sept
Rosenborg W
1 : 1
Aalesund W
20 Sept
Aalesund W
4 : 1
Molde W
11 Sept
Bodo/Glimt W
0 : 2
Aalesund W
06 Sept
Brann W
3 : 1
Aalesund W
31 Aug
Honefoss W
0 : 1
Aalesund W
Page 1 of 6

Honefoss W

(Away)
26 Sept
Lyn W
1 : 1
Honefoss W
19 Sept
Honefoss W
0 : 0
Roa W
13 Sept
Molde W
0 : 1
Honefoss W
31 Aug
Honefoss W
0 : 1
Aalesund W
19 Aug
Valerenga W
2 : 1
Honefoss W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brann W 17 15 2 0 53:4 47
2 Aalesund W 17 13 2 2 42:16 41
3 Rosenborg W 17 11 4 2 32:19 37
4 Valerenga W 17 11 1 5 45:24 34
5 Stabaek W 17 7 3 7 33:20 24
6 Lyn W 17 6 5 6 30:23 23
7 Molde W 17 5 3 9 23:33 18
8 Haugesund W 17 5 3 9 22:40 18
9 LSK Kvinner W 17 4 3 10 23:33 15
10 Honefoss W 17 3 4 10 13:30 13
11 Roa W 17 2 5 10 16:36 11
12 Bodo/Glimt W 17 1 3 13 11:65 6
Promotion - UEFA Europa Cup Women (Qualification)
Relegation - Toppserien Women (Relegation)
Relegation - Division 1 Women 2027 (Main)