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Aali Club vs Al Budaiya

Bahrain Bahrain

Premier League 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Diego Cardoso
86' Event
Omar H.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2025/2026 game between Aali Club and Al Budaiya finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Aali Club.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Aali Club
20%
Draws
29%
Al Budaiya
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Aali Club

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Al Budaiya haven't matched Aali Club's recent run of results.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Aali Club taking it.
  • Regular Premier League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%
Aali Club Clean Sheet 68%
Al Budaiya Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aali Club Al Budaiya
Matches Played 27 30
Wins 11 8
Draws 5 5
Losses 11 17
Goals Scored 0.89 1.07
Goals Conceded 0.96 1.73
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Premier League
Aali Club vs Al Budaiya
2:0
Jan 2, 2026 Premier League
Al Budaiya vs Aali Club
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aali Club Compare

Top Goalscorer Diego Cardoso
1 Goals
Assists Leader Omar H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Al Budaiya Compare

Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aali Club 86 / 100
Al Budaiya 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aali Club Al Budaiya

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aali Club Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Al Budaiya conceded in 93% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Aali Club remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Al Budaiya lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Aali Club VS Al Budaiya
0.88 Goals Scored 0.5
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
50% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Aali Club

(Home)
11 Sept
Aali Club
1 : 0
Malkia
04 Sept
Al Khalidiyah
3 : 1
Aali Club
29 Aug
Aali Club
1 : 1
Manama Club
16 May
Al Muharraq
1 : 0
Aali Club
10 May
Aali Club
2 : 0
Al Budaiya
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Al Budaiya

(Away)
30 May
Al Ittihad
0 : 1
Al Budaiya
25 May
Al Budaiya
0 : 3
Al Najma
21 May
Al Budaiya
0 : 1
Manama Club
15 May
Al Budaiya
2 : 2
Al Ahli
10 May
Aali Club
2 : 0
Al Budaiya
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Muharraq 22 17 4 1 45:7 55
2 Al Khalidiyah 22 18 0 4 42:16 54
3 Al Riffa 22 15 4 3 41:17 49
4 Malkia 22 9 6 7 23:16 33
5 Aali Club 22 9 4 9 19:20 31
6 Al Hidd 22 8 6 8 29:23 30
7 Al Ahli 22 7 6 9 28:28 27
8 Sitra 22 7 6 9 22:31 27
9 Al Budaiya 22 6 4 12 24:34 22
10 Al Najma 22 6 4 12 21:35 22
11 Al Shabbab 22 3 5 14 8:34 14
12 Bahrain SC 22 2 1 19 15:56 7
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Main)
Promotion - Gulf Club Champions League 2026/2027 (Main)
Relegation - Premier League 2025/2026 (Relegation)