Sport Picks
Match Events
31'
31'
Abdullah Y.
52'
52'
Diego Cardoso
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 2-0. This leg finished 2-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
37%
15%
48%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Al Najma
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
37%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Aali Club lately — more wins on the board than Al Najma.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- Aali Club have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Aali Club, who have won 2 of the last 3 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- History favors Aali Club here — 3 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%
Aali Club Clean Sheet 68%
Al Najma Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Aali Club | Al Najma |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 29 |
| Wins | 11 | 10 |
| Draws | 5 | 4 |
| Losses | 11 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 0.89 | 1.17 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.96 | 1.72 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.56 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 5, 2026 King's Cup
Aali Club vs Al Najma
2:0
Jan 28, 2026 Premier League
Aali Club vs Al Najma
2:0
Sep 19, 2025 Premier League
Al Najma vs Aali Club
0:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Aali Club Compare
Top Goalscorer Abdullah Y.
1 Goals Assists Leader Diego Cardoso
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78
Al Najma Compare
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Aali Club 41 / 100
Al Najma 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Aali Club Al Najma
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Aali Club Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Al Najma's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.
These sides typically produce 2.33 goals when they meet.
Solid form: Aali Club remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Aali Club found the back of the net in 59% of recent matches (27 games).
Scoring Trends
Aali Club VS Al Najma
0.75 Goals Scored 1.88
1 Goals Conceded 2.38
50% Over 1.5 100%
13% Over 2.5 100%
13% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Aali Club
(Home) 11 Sept
Aali Club
1 : 0 Malkia
04 Sept
Al Khalidiyah
3 : 1 Aali Club
29 Aug
Aali Club
1 : 1 Manama Club
16 May
Al Muharraq
1 : 0 Aali Club
10 May
Aali Club
2 : 0 Al Budaiya
Page 1 of 6
11 Sept
Aali Club
1 : 0 Malkia
29 Aug
Aali Club
1 : 1 Manama Club
10 May
Aali Club
2 : 0 Al Budaiya
27 Apr
Aali Club
0 : 2 Sitra
02 Apr
Aali Club
2 : 1 Bahrain SC
Page 1 of 3
Al Najma
(Away) 11 Sept
Al Najma
2 : 3 East Riffa
02 Sept
Malkia
0 : 1 Al Najma
27 Aug
Al Najma
2 : 7 Al Khalidiyah
30 May
Al Najma
3 : 2 Manama Club
25 May
Al Budaiya
0 : 3 Al Najma
Page 1 of 6
02 Sept
Malkia
0 : 1 Al Najma
25 May
Al Budaiya
0 : 3 Al Najma
10 May
Bahrain SC
0 : 3 Al Najma
28 Apr
Malkia
3 : 0 Al Najma
02 Apr
Al Shabbab
1 : 1 Al Najma
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/16-finals
Al Khalidiyah -
TBD -
Umm Al Hassam 0
Al Hala 2
Aali Club -
TBD -
TBD -
Al Najma -
Bahrain SC -
TBD -
TBD -
Al Hidd -
East Riffa 1
Manama Club 2
TBD -
Al Riffa -
Al Muharraq -
TBD -
Isa Town 3
Al Reef 2
Al Shabbab -
TBD -
TBD -
Malkia -
Al Budaiya -
TBD -
TBD -
Al Ahli -
Al Ittihad 1
Al Ittifaq 5
TBD -
Sitra -
1/8-finals
Al Khalidiyah 7
Al Hala 0
Aali Club 2
Al Najma 0
Bahrain SC 1
Al Hidd 0
Manama Club 2
Al Riffa 3
Al Muharraq 6
Isa Town 0
Al Shabbab 2
Malkia 1
Al Budaiya 0
Al Ahli 1
Al Ittifaq 2
Sitra 0
Quarter-finals
Al Khalidiyah 2
Aali Club 0
Bahrain SC 1
Al Riffa 4
Al Muharraq 3
Al Shabbab 0
Al Ahli 3
Al Ittifaq 2
Semi-finals
Al Khalidiyah 3
Al Riffa 4
Al Muharraq 2
Al Ahli 1
Final
Al Riffa 1
Al Muharraq 2
