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Aali Club vs Al-Najma

Bahrain Bahrain

King's Cup
Our Tip

Match Events

31' Event
Abdullah Y.
52' Event
Diego Cardoso

AI Match Summary

Aali Club in this King's Cup matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Aali Club.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Aali Club
39%
Draws
30%
Al-Najma
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Al-Najma at 1 per game, Aali Club at 0.75.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Knockout football tends to sharpen focus — no second leg to fall back on.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Aali Club have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Aali Club Clean Sheet 23%
Al-Najma Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aali Club Al-Najma
Matches Played 24 34
Wins 10 10
Draws 4 6
Losses 10 18
Goals Scored 0.75 1
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 5, 2026 King's Cup
Aali Club vs Al-Najma
2:0
Jan 28, 2026 Premier League
Aali Club vs Al-Najma
2:0
Sep 19, 2025 Premier League
Al-Najma vs Aali Club
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aali Club Compare

Top Goalscorer Abdullah Y.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Diego Cardoso
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Al-Najma Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aali Club 33 / 100
Al-Najma 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aali Club Al-Najma

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NAJ Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al-Najma's defensive record shows goals conceded in 85% of 34 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.33 goals per match.

Aali Club found the back of the net in 54% of recent matches (24 games).

Aali Club went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Aali Club VS Al-Najma
0.75 Goals Scored 1
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.63
50% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Al Khalidiyah-
TBD-
Umm Al Hassam0
Al-Hala2
Aali Club-
TBD-
TBD-
Al-Najma-
Bahrain SC-
TBD-
TBD-
Al-Hidd-
East Riffa1
Manama Club2
TBD-
Al Riffa-
Al-Muharraq-
TBD-
Isa Town3
Al Reef2
Al-Shabbab-
TBD-
TBD-
Malkia-
Al-Budaiya-
TBD-
TBD-
Al-Ahli-
Al-Ittihad1
Al-Ittifaq5
TBD-
Sitra-
1/8-finals
Al Khalidiyah7
Al-Hala0
Aali Club2
Al-Najma0
Bahrain SC1
Al-Hidd0
Manama Club2
Al Riffa3
Al-Muharraq6
Isa Town0
Al-Shabbab2
Malkia1
Al-Budaiya0
Al-Ahli1
Al-Ittifaq2
Sitra0
Quarter-finals
Al Khalidiyah2
Aali Club0
Bahrain SC1
Al Riffa4
Al-Muharraq3
Al-Shabbab0
Al-Ahli3
Al-Ittifaq2
Semi-finals
Al Khalidiyah3
Al Riffa4
Al-Muharraq2
Al-Ahli1
Final
Al Riffa1
Al-Muharraq2