Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Aalst vs Ninove

Belgium Belgium

Second Amateur Division Group VFV A 2023/2024 Pierre Cornelisstadion, Aalst
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Aalst in this Second Amateur Division Group VFV A 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Aalst.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Aalst
15%
Draws
21%
Ninove
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Aalst

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Aalst have won more games recently than Ninove.
  • Win probability leans Aalst's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Second Amateur Division Group VFV A 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Aalst Clean Sheet 17%
Ninove Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aalst Ninove
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 17 6
Draws 6 3
Losses 7 22
Goals Scored 1.77 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.1 2.68
Expected Goals (xG) 2.54 1.43
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 21, 2024 Second Amateur Division Group VFV A
Aalst vs Ninove
3:0
Nov 1, 2023 Second Amateur Division Group VFV A
Ninove vs Aalst
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aalst 84 / 100
Ninove 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aalst Ninove

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aalst Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Aalst scored in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Ninove has conceded goals in 97% of their last 31 outings.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Recent resilience: Aalst stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Ninove
0 Goals Scored 1.75
0 Goals Conceded 3.88
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Aalst

(Home)
05 May
Aalst
1 : 3
Gullegem
28 Apr
KRC Harelbeke
1 : 0
Aalst
21 Apr
Aalst
3 : 0
Ninove
14 Apr
Olsa Brakel
2 : 3
Aalst
07 Apr
Aalst
4 : 1
Oostkamp
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Ninove

(Away)
26 Apr
Ninove
3 : 1
Merelbeke
18 Apr
Hoogstraten
3 : 1
Ninove
11 Apr
Ninove
0 : 4
Knokke
29 Mar
Diegem
5 : 0
Ninove
21 Mar
Ninove
1 : 3
Houtvenne
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aalst 34 19 7 8 60:35 64
2 Ninove 34 17 7 10 57:48 58
3 Dikkelvenne 34 15 11 8 67:48 56
4 Merelbeke 34 16 6 12 68:43 54
5 Cercle Brugge 2 34 16 5 13 64:51 53
6 Voorde Appelterre 34 15 8 11 54:56 53
7 Oudenaarde 34 13 11 10 45:39 50
8 Oostkamp 34 14 7 13 58:68 49
9 Waregem 2 34 14 6 14 53:44 48
10 Gullegem 34 14 5 15 57:64 47
11 Torhout 34 13 8 13 47:61 47
12 KRC Gent 34 13 6 15 54:53 45
13 Zelzate 34 12 6 16 63:60 42
14 Olsa Brakel 34 11 6 17 38:47 39
15 KRC Harelbeke 34 9 12 13 47:56 39
16 Petegem 34 10 8 16 54:63 38
17 Mandel United 34 10 7 17 27:46 37
18 RFC Wetteren 34 8 8 18 49:80 32
Promotion - Second Amateur Division Group VFV A 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Second Amateur Division Group VFV A 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Second Amateur Division Group VFV A 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Second Amateur Division Group VFV A 2023/2024 (Play Offs)