Sport Picks
Aarau vs Etoile-Carouge - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Switzerland
Challenge League Stadion Brügglifeld, Aarau 
AI Match Summary
Aarau host Etoile-Carouge in the Challenge League. This has Aarau written all over it on paper. Etoile-Carouge have shipped 1.67 goals a game lately, while Aarau have conceded 1.61 and scored 1.9. Head-to-head, Aarau have won 3 to Etoile-Carouge's 2, with 0 draws. They last met on Jul 24, 2026, ending 3:0. The numbers (1.20 xG vs 1.00) point toward Aarau. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Etoile-Carouge haven't matched Aarau's recent run of results.
- Aarau are the model's pick here, at 50%.
- Regular Challenge League form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Aarau | Etoile-Carouge |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 27 |
| Wins | 14 | 9 |
| Draws | 8 | 6 |
| Losses | 9 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.9 | 1.22 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.61 | 1.67 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Aarau's goal record stands at 87% scoring rate across 31 recent games.
These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.
Etoile-Carouge let in goals in 70% of their last 27 matches.
Etoile-Carouge's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Aarau
(Home)Etoile-Carouge
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lausanne Ouchy | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 17:3 | 21 |
| 2 | Winterthur | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 19:8 | 18 |
| 3 | Yverdon | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 14:9 | 16 |
| 4 | Kriens | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 16:11 | 14 |
| 5 | Aarau | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 14:16 | 12 |
| 6 | Xamax | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 12:17 | 12 |
| 7 | Rapperswil-Jona | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 15:16 | 10 |
| 8 | Etoile-Carouge | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 8:12 | 9 |
| 9 | Wil | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 15:21 | 9 |
| 10 | Stade Nyonnais | 9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6:23 | 2 |
