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Stadium Background

Aarau vs Schaffhausen

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Aarau in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 4-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Aarau.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Aarau
33%
Draws
40%
Schaffhausen
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Schaffhausen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Schaffhausen average 2.38 goals a game right now, well clear of Aarau's 2.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Schaffhausen taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Aarau Clean Sheet 10%
Schaffhausen Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aarau Schaffhausen
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 15 15
Draws 6 3
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 2 2.38
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 17, 2026 Club Friendly
Aarau vs Schaffhausen
4:2
Apr 25, 2025 Challenge League
Schaffhausen vs Aarau
1:1
Mar 1, 2025 Challenge League
Aarau vs Schaffhausen
3:0
Oct 18, 2024 Challenge League
Schaffhausen vs Aarau
0:3
Sep 23, 2024 Challenge League
Aarau vs Schaffhausen
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aarau 26 / 100
Schaffhausen 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aarau Schaffhausen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SCH Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aarau scored in 87% of their last 31 games.

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Schaffhausen has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Recent resilience: Aarau stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Aarau VS Schaffhausen
2 Goals Scored 2.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Aarau

(Home)
18 Jul
Aarau
2 : 1
Union Berlin
10 Jul
A. Lustenau
1 : 0
Aarau
30 Jun
Aarau
1 : 3
St. Gallen II
21 May
Grasshoppers
2 : 1
Aarau
18 May
Aarau
0 : 0
Grasshoppers
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Schaffhausen

(Away)
18 Jul
Freiburg II
1 : 1
Schaffhausen
27 Jun
Zurich
3 : 2
Schaffhausen
30 May
Lausanne II
2 : 1
Schaffhausen
23 May
Schaffhausen
3 : 0
Grand-Saconnex
16 May
Schaffhausen
4 : 2
Lugano II
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