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Aarau vs Young Boys - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

43' Event
Virginius A.
48' Event
Lauper S.
64'

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Aarau and Young Boys finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Young Boys.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Aarau
30%
Draws
51%
Young Boys
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Young Boys

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Aarau haven't matched Young Boys's recent run of results.
  • Young Boys are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 93%).
  • Young Boys have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 93%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Aarau Clean Sheet 10%
Young Boys Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aarau Young Boys
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 12 15
Draws 7 9
Losses 9 4
Goals Scored 1.79 2.79
Goals Conceded 1.64 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 2, 2026 Club Friendly
Aarau vs Young Boys
1:2
Sep 20, 2025 Swiss Cup
Aarau vs Young Boys
1:0
Jul 13, 2024 Club Friendly
Young Boys vs Aarau
1:0
Jan 16, 2021 Club Friendly
Young Boys vs Aarau
3:2
Mar 24, 2016 Club Friendly
Young Boys vs Aarau
5:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aarau Compare

Top Goalscorer Simic I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03

Young Boys Compare

Top Goalscorer Virginius A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lauper S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.27
Avg xA / game 1.39

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aarau 14 / 100
Young Boys 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aarau Young Boys

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Young Boys Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Aarau scored in 86% of their last 28 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Young Boys has conceded goals in 71% of their last 28 outings.

Recent resilience: Aarau stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Aarau VS Young Boys
2.13 Goals Scored 3.13
1.88 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Aarau

(Home)
02 Oct
Aarau
1 : 2
Young Boys
24 Sept
Grasshoppers
4 : 1
Aarau
18 Sept
Winterthur
2 : 1
Aarau
12 Sept
Aarau
2 : 2
Kriens
04 Sept
Aarau
3 : 2
Rapperswil-Jona
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Young Boys

(Away)
02 Oct
Aarau
1 : 2
Young Boys
19 Sept
Young Boys
3 : 2
Servette
12 Sept
Lugano
2 : 2
Young Boys
05 Sept
Young Boys
3 : 3
Luzern
01 Sept
Zurich
2 : 4
Young Boys
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