Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Aarau W vs Thun W

Switzerland Switzerland

Super League Women 2025/2026 Stadion Brügglifeld, Aarau
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Schutt T. M.
29'
Frei L.
46'
Sub
Hamidi M. In: Ueltschi S.
Out: Hamidi M.

AI Match Summary

The Super League Women 2025/2026 game between Aarau W and Thun W finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Aarau W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Aarau W
15%
Draws
76%
Thun W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Thun W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / Very High Confidence
  • Thun W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 76% — that's where the model lands on Thun W taking it.
  • Regular Super League Women 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Aarau W here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Aarau W Clean Sheet 10%
Thun W Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aarau W Thun W
Matches Played 30 36
Wins 2 11
Draws 6 7
Losses 22 18
Goals Scored 0.6 1.47
Goals Conceded 2.2 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2026 Super League Women
Aarau W vs Thun W
2:0
Oct 19, 2025 Super League Women
Thun W vs Aarau W
1:1
Mar 8, 2025 Super League Women
Thun W vs Aarau W
1:3
Sep 28, 2024 Super League Women
Aarau W vs Thun W
3:1
Mar 23, 2024 Super League Women
Thun W vs Aarau W
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aarau W Compare

Top Goalscorer Schutt T. M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Klingenstein A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Thun W Compare

Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aarau W 10 / 100
Thun W 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aarau W Thun W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Thun W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Thun W has conceded goals in 89% of their last 36 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Aarau W scored in 43% of their last 30 games.

Aarau W has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Aarau W VS Thun W
0.63 Goals Scored 2.13
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Aarau W

(Home)
19 Sept
Aarau W
1 : 2
Young Boys W
13 Sept
Yverdon W
4 : 1
Aarau W
09 Sept
St. Gallen W
2 : 2
Aarau W
05 Sept
Aarau W
0 : 1
Luzern W
29 Aug
Aarau W
0 : 8
Zurich W
Page 1 of 6

Thun W

(Away)
30 May
Sion W
1 : 6
Thun W
23 May
Thun W
1 : 4
Luzern W
17 May
Yverdon W
0 : 2
Thun W
09 May
Thun W
4 : 1
Sion W
02 May
Luzern W
1 : 0
Thun W
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Servette W 18 15 2 1 42:5 47
2 Young Boys W 18 11 3 4 32:13 36
3 Basel W 18 10 5 3 23:13 35
4 Grasshopper W 18 10 3 5 33:22 33
5 Zurich W 18 8 5 5 33:20 29
6 St. Gallen W 18 7 5 6 25:28 26
7 Rapperswil-Jona W 18 3 7 8 19:30 16
8 Aarau W 18 2 5 11 11:28 11
9 Luzern W 18 2 4 12 21:50 10
10 Thun W 18 1 3 14 17:47 6
Promotion - Super League Women 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Super League Women 2025/2026 (Relegation)