Sport Picks

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Aarhus Fremad vs Esbjerg

Denmark Denmark

1st Division Riisvangen, Aarhus
Fri, Oct 16, 2026
VS
05:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Aarhus Fremad host Esbjerg in the 1st Division. This one's hard to separate. Esbjerg have shipped 1.47 goals a game lately, while Aarhus Fremad have conceded 0.84 and scored 1.35. Past meetings favor Aarhus Fremad slightly — 2-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jul 4, 2026, ending 2:0. The numbers (1.56 xG vs 1.25) point toward Aarhus Fremad. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Aarhus Fremad
30%
Draws
23%
Esbjerg
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Aarhus Fremad

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Aarhus Fremad lately — more wins on the board than Esbjerg.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Aarhus Fremad Clean Sheet 19%
Esbjerg Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aarhus Fremad Esbjerg
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 14 11
Draws 8 8
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 1.35 1.67
Goals Conceded 0.84 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 4, 2026 Club Friendly
Esbjerg vs Aarhus Fremad
2:0
Oct 25, 2025 1st Division
Aarhus Fremad vs Esbjerg
0:1
Sep 28, 2025 1st Division
Esbjerg vs Aarhus Fremad
1:1
May 18, 2024 2nd Division
Aarhus Fremad vs Esbjerg
2:0
Apr 26, 2024 2nd Division
Esbjerg vs Aarhus Fremad
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aarhus Fremad 32 / 100
Esbjerg 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aarhus Fremad Esbjerg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aarhus Fremad's goal record stands at 65% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Defensive concern: Esbjerg conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Aarhus Fremad remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Aarhus Fremad VS Esbjerg
1.38 Goals Scored 2.13
0.38 Goals Conceded 1.75
50% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Aarhus Fremad

(Home)
19 Sept
Aarhus Fremad
1 : 3
Hvidovre IF
16 Sept
Horsholm-Usserod
1 : 2
Aarhus Fremad
11 Sept
Vendsyssel FF
0 : 0
Aarhus Fremad
06 Sept
Aarhus Fremad
2 : 1
Kolding IF
30 Aug
Aarhus Fremad
0 : 0
Vejle
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Esbjerg

(Away)
19 Sept
AB Copenhagen
3 : 0
Esbjerg
15 Sept
Hellerup
0 : 5
Esbjerg
12 Sept
Esbjerg
2 : 2
Koge
05 Sept
Fredericia
1 : 0
Esbjerg
30 Aug
Esbjerg
0 : 2
Vendsyssel FF
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hvidovre IF 9 6 3 0 18:9 21
2 Vejle 9 5 4 0 22:13 19
3 Fredericia 9 3 5 1 12:6 14
4 Aarhus Fremad 9 3 4 2 10:9 13
5 Aalborg 9 3 4 2 11:11 13
6 Hobro 9 4 1 4 12:16 13
7 Vendsyssel FF 9 2 4 3 10:14 10
8 AB Copenhagen 9 2 3 4 11:10 9
9 Hillerod 9 2 3 4 13:14 9
10 Kolding IF 9 1 5 3 10:12 8
11 Koge 9 1 4 4 11:17 7
12 Esbjerg 9 1 2 6 10:19 5
Promotion - 1st Division (Promotion Group)
Relegation - 1st Division (Relegation Group)