Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Aarhus Fremad vs Koge

Denmark Denmark

1st Division Riisvangen, Aarhus
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Kaastrup M.
Assist: Egerton E.
27' Event
Kaastrup M.
Assist: Egerton E.
31'
Thomsen T.

AI Match Summary

The 1st Division game between Aarhus Fremad and Koge finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Aarhus Fremad.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Aarhus Fremad
15%
Draws
0%
Koge
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Aarhus Fremad

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Aarhus Fremad carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Aarhus Fremad's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular 1st Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Aarhus Fremad Clean Sheet 20%
Koge Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aarhus Fremad Koge
Matches Played 30 27
Wins 13 9
Draws 8 7
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 1.87 1.37
Goals Conceded 1.2 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 1st Division
Aarhus Fremad vs Koge
3:1
May 9, 2026 1st Division
Aarhus Fremad vs Koge
0:0
Apr 6, 2026 1st Division
Koge vs Aarhus Fremad
2:0
Nov 23, 2025 1st Division
Aarhus Fremad vs Koge
2:2
Jul 25, 2025 1st Division
Koge vs Aarhus Fremad
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aarhus Fremad Compare

Top Goalscorer Kaastrup M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Ludwig A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Koge Compare

Avg xG / game 0.63
Avg xA / game 0.38

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aarhus Fremad 85 / 100
Koge 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aarhus Fremad Koge

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AAR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 6:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Difficult form: Koge registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Aarhus Fremad found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

Koge's defensive record shows goals conceded in 74% of 27 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Aarhus Fremad VS Koge
1.13 Goals Scored 0.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 38%
50% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Aarhus Fremad

(Home)
08 Aug
Aarhus Fremad
3 : 1
Koge
04 Aug
Ringkobing
0 : 4
Aarhus Fremad
31 Jul
Aarhus Fremad
1 : 2
Aalborg
26 Jul
Hobro
1 : 2
Aarhus Fremad
17 Jul
Viborg
1 : 0
Aarhus Fremad
Page 1 of 6

Koge

(Away)
08 Aug
Aarhus Fremad
3 : 1
Koge
04 Aug
Bronshoj
1 : 0
Koge
31 Jul
Koge
0 : 2
Vejle
25 Jul
Fredericia
3 : 0
Koge
18 Jul
Naestved IF
2 : 0
Koge
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vejle 3 2 1 0 9:6 7
2 Hvidovre IF 3 2 1 0 5:3 7
3 Aalborg 3 2 1 0 4:2 7
4 Aarhus Fremad 3 2 0 1 6:4 6
5 Hobro 3 2 0 1 4:3 6
6 Fredericia 3 1 2 0 5:2 5
7 Esbjerg 3 1 1 1 5:5 4
8 Vendsyssel FF 3 0 2 1 4:5 2
9 AB Copenhagen 3 0 2 1 3:4 2
10 Kolding IF 3 0 2 1 2:3 2
11 Hillerod 3 0 0 3 6:9 0
12 Koge 3 0 0 3 1:8 0
Promotion - 1st Division (Promotion Group)
Relegation - 1st Division (Relegation Group)