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Aarhus Fremad vs Koge Prediction & H2H Stats

Denmark Denmark

1st Division Riisvangen, Aarhus
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Match Events

9' Event
Kaastrup M.
Assist: Egerton E.
27' Event
Kaastrup M.
Assist: Egerton E.
31'
Thomsen T.

AI Match Summary

The 1st Division game between Aarhus Fremad and Koge finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Aarhus Fremad.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Aarhus Fremad
35%
Draws
30%
Koge
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Aarhus Fremad carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Regular 1st Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Aarhus Fremad Clean Sheet 20%
Koge Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aarhus Fremad Koge
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 13 9
Draws 7 8
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 1.41 1.25
Goals Conceded 0.9 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 1st Division
Aarhus Fremad vs Koge
3:1
May 9, 2026 1st Division
Aarhus Fremad vs Koge
0:0
Apr 6, 2026 1st Division
Koge vs Aarhus Fremad
2:0
Nov 23, 2025 1st Division
Aarhus Fremad vs Koge
2:2
Jul 25, 2025 1st Division
Koge vs Aarhus Fremad
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aarhus Fremad Compare

Top Goalscorer Kaastrup M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Ludwig A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Koge Compare

Avg xG / game 0.51
Avg xA / game 0.31

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aarhus Fremad 36 / 100
Koge 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aarhus Fremad Koge

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Koge Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Aarhus Fremad scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Koge conceded in 75% of 28 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Aarhus Fremad remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Aarhus Fremad VS Koge
1.38 Goals Scored 0.75
0.38 Goals Conceded 1.63
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Aarhus Fremad

(Home)
19 Sept
Aarhus Fremad
1 : 3
Hvidovre IF
16 Sept
Horsholm-Usserod
1 : 2
Aarhus Fremad
11 Sept
Vendsyssel FF
0 : 0
Aarhus Fremad
06 Sept
Aarhus Fremad
2 : 1
Kolding IF
30 Aug
Aarhus Fremad
0 : 0
Vejle
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Koge

(Away)
21 Sept
Koge
5 : 2
Hobro
12 Sept
Esbjerg
2 : 2
Koge
04 Sept
Koge
1 : 1
Hillerod
29 Aug
Aalborg
0 : 0
Koge
23 Aug
Koge
2 : 2
Kolding IF
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hvidovre IF 9 6 3 0 18:9 21
2 Vejle 9 5 4 0 22:13 19
3 Fredericia 9 3 5 1 12:6 14
4 Aarhus Fremad 9 3 4 2 10:9 13
5 Aalborg 9 3 4 2 11:11 13
6 Hobro 9 4 1 4 12:16 13
7 Vendsyssel FF 9 2 4 3 10:14 10
8 AB Copenhagen 9 2 3 4 11:10 9
9 Hillerod 9 2 3 4 13:14 9
10 Kolding IF 9 1 5 3 10:12 8
11 Koge 9 1 4 4 11:17 7
12 Esbjerg 9 1 2 6 10:19 5
Promotion - 1st Division (Promotion Group)
Relegation - 1st Division (Relegation Group)