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Aarup vs Skjold

Denmark Denmark

2nd Division West 2011/2012
Aarup Logo

Aarup

3 - 1
FT
Skjold Logo

Skjold

Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
19' Event
22' Event
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The 2nd Division West 2011/2012 game between Aarup and Skjold finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Aarup.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Aarup
30%
Draws
31%
Skjold
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Aarup

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

31% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Aarup come out ahead of Skjold on wins alone.
  • Model gives Skjold a 31% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Aarup Clean Sheet 20%
Skjold Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aarup Skjold
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 6
Draws 7 4
Losses 15 20
Goals Scored 1.3 1.43
Goals Conceded 2.1 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 1.23
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 16, 2012 2nd Division West
Aarup vs Skjold
3:1
Sep 17, 2011 2nd Division West
Skjold vs Aarup
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aarup 24 / 100
Skjold 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aarup Skjold

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Skjold Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Skjold's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

Aarup's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Aarup remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Aarup VS Skjold
3 Goals Scored 1.13
1.33 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 50%
100% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Aarup

(Home)
11 Sept
Aarup
1 : 3
Vejle
15 Aug
Tved
0 : 5
Aarup
16 Jun
Aarup
3 : 1
Skjold
10 Jun
Aarhus Fremad
2 : 2
Aarup
05 Jun
Lindholm
1 : 2
Aarup
Page 1 of 6

Skjold

(Away)
04 Aug
Maribo BK
0 : 6
Skjold
03 Sept
Ringsted
3 : 1
Skjold
05 Aug
LUIF
0 : 7
Skjold
01 Mar
Sundby
1 : 1
Skjold
15 Feb
Holbaek
1 : 1
Skjold
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Fyn 30 23 3 4 71:21 72
2 Naesby 30 22 4 4 77:29 70
3 Varde 30 14 13 3 42:27 55
4 Thisted FC 30 15 8 7 64:39 53
5 Aarhus Fremad 30 12 10 8 59:43 46
6 Marienlyst 30 12 9 9 57:55 45
7 Svendborg 30 10 13 7 50:39 43
8 Skovbakken 30 13 2 15 44:50 41
9 Nykobing 30 10 8 12 47:58 38
10 Kjellerup 30 9 9 12 39:43 36
11 Otterup 30 8 9 13 42:64 33
12 Brabrand 30 8 8 14 36:40 32
13 Aarup 30 7 8 15 38:66 29
14 Lindholm 30 7 7 16 32:62 28
15 Skjold 30 5 6 19 38:60 21
16 Viby 30 4 5 21 27:67 17
Promotion - 2nd Division East 2011/2012 (Play Offs)