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AB Tarnby vs SfB-Oure - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Denmark Denmark

3rd Division 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Rybner M.
33' Event
Paludan B.
35' Event
Smith A. J.

AI Match Summary

AB Tarnby in this 3rd Division 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored AB Tarnby.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
AB Tarnby
15%
Draws
85%
SfB-Oure
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: SfB-Oure

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

0% / Low Confidence
  • SfB-Oure have won more games recently than AB Tarnby.
  • AB Tarnby are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • SfB-Oure have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
AB Tarnby Clean Sheet 20%
SfB-Oure Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AB Tarnby SfB-Oure
Matches Played 30 36
Wins 8 13
Draws 4 7
Losses 18 16
Goals Scored 1.4 1.5
Goals Conceded 2.33 1.94
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 3, 2023 3rd Division
SfB-Oure vs AB Tarnby
4:1
Apr 16, 2023 3rd Division
AB Tarnby vs SfB-Oure
3:1
Apr 1, 2023 3rd Division
SfB-Oure vs AB Tarnby
2:1
Oct 8, 2022 3rd Division
AB Tarnby vs SfB-Oure
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AB Tarnby Compare

Top Goalscorer Rybner M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Paludan B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

SfB-Oure Compare

Top Goalscorer Stenner M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AB Tarnby 58 / 100
SfB-Oure 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AB Tarnby SfB-Oure

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AB Tarnby Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SfB-Oure's defensive record shows goals conceded in 81% of 36 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.25 goals per match.

AB Tarnby found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

Away concern: SfB-Oure has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

AB Tarnby VS SfB-Oure
1 Goals Scored 0.75
3 Goals Conceded 2.13
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 50%
100% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

AB Tarnby

(Home)
01 Mar
Bronshoj
3 : 1
AB Tarnby
07 Aug
AB Tarnby
1 : 3
Helsingor
10 Feb
AB Tarnby
1 : 3
Vanlose
27 Jan
BK Frem
5 : 1
AB Tarnby
06 Sept
AB Tarnby
0 : 2
Nykobing
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SfB-Oure

(Away)
04 Aug
SfB-Oure
0 : 6
Fredericia
17 Jan
Middelfart
5 : 1
SfB-Oure
05 Aug
Bramming
3 : 2
SfB-Oure
13 Aug
Boldklubben 1909
3 : 1
SfB-Oure
15 Jun
SfB-Oure
2 : 2
Lyseng
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