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Abakaliki vs First Bank

Nigeria Nigeria

NNL
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The NNL game between Abakaliki and First Bank finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Abakaliki.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Abakaliki
15%
Draws
59%
First Bank
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: First Bank

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

26% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Abakaliki come out ahead of First Bank on wins alone.
  • 26% — that's where the model lands on Abakaliki taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.2%
Abakaliki Clean Sheet 20%
First Bank Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Abakaliki First Bank
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 9
Draws 4 5
Losses 13 16
Goals Scored 1.07 0.97
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.6
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 20, 2026 NNL
First Bank vs Abakaliki
0:0
Jan 7, 2026 NNL
Abakaliki vs First Bank
1:0
Apr 26, 2025 NNL
Abakaliki vs First Bank
1:0
Feb 2, 2025 NNL
First Bank vs Abakaliki
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Abakaliki 49 / 100
First Bank 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Abakaliki First Bank

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ABA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Abakaliki scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

First Bank's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 0.75 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Abakaliki stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Abakaliki VS First Bank
1.13 Goals Scored 1
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Abakaliki

(Home)
01 Jun
Barau
1 : 0
Abakaliki
16 Apr
Rovers FC
1 : 0
Abakaliki
04 Apr
Abakaliki
1 : 0
Akwa United
28 Mar
Solution
2 : 1
Abakaliki
25 Mar
Ekiti United
1 : 0
Abakaliki
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First Bank

(Away)
16 Apr
First Bank
3 : 3
Godswill Akpabio
04 Apr
Sporting Lagos
5 : 0
First Bank
01 Apr
First Bank
1 : 0
Solution
28 Mar
First Bank
2 : 0
Osun United
15 Mar
Stormers
3 : 1
First Bank
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Inter Lagos 16 8 5 3 26:13 29
2 Beyond Limits FC 16 7 7 2 23:13 28
3 Heartland FC 16 8 3 5 21:17 27
4 Smart City 16 8 3 5 21:19 27
5 Sunshine Stars 16 7 4 5 18:14 25
6 Edel FC 16 6 2 8 14:20 20
7 Crown FC 16 4 4 8 18:19 16
8 Abia Comets 16 4 3 9 16:31 15
9 Gateway United 16 3 3 10 13:24 12
Promotion - NPFL 2026/2027 (Main)
Promotion - NNL (Championship Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sporting Lagos 18 11 3 4 31:14 36
2 Akwa United 18 11 2 5 23:13 35
3 Ekiti United 18 10 0 8 21:17 30
4 Stormers 18 8 2 8 24:26 26
5 Abakaliki 18 7 4 7 19:17 25
6 Solution 18 8 1 9 18:22 25
7 Godswill Akpabio 18 6 6 6 27:24 24
8 Rovers FC 18 7 1 10 15:21 22
9 Osun United 18 6 2 10 16:24 20
10 First Bank 18 4 3 11 15:31 15
Promotion - NPFL 2026/2027 (Main)
Promotion - NNL (Championship Group)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Doma United 14 8 2 4 18:11 26
2 Lobi 14 7 2 5 12:10 23
3 Basira 14 6 3 5 17:14 21
4 Kada Warriors 14 5 5 4 11:9 20
5 Sokoto United 14 5 3 6 9:11 18
6 ABS 14 5 2 7 10:16 17
7 Mighty Jets 14 5 1 8 14:16 16
8 City FC Abuja 14 4 4 6 10:14 16
Promotion - NPFL 2026/2027 (Main)
Promotion - NNL (Championship Group)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ranchers Bees 12 6 2 4 11:9 20
2 Adamawa Utd 12 6 0 6 12:11 18
3 Jigawa Golden Stars 12 5 3 4 12:15 18
4 Yobe Stars 12 5 2 5 14:13 17
5 Kebbi 12 5 1 6 11:11 16
6 Bichi First 12 4 3 5 11:9 15
7 Gombe 12 4 3 5 8:11 15
8 Sporting Supreme 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - NPFL 2026/2027 (Main)
Promotion - NNL (Championship Group)