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ABC vs Luverdense

Brazil Brazil

Serie D Estadio Maria Lamas Farache (Frasqueirao), Natal
ABC Logo

ABC

4 - 1
FT
Luverdense Logo

Luverdense

Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Igor Bahia
24' Event
Wallyson
33' Event
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 4-1, with ABC advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
ABC
6%
Draws
4%
Luverdense
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: ABC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and ABC come out ahead of Luverdense on wins alone.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on ABC taking it.
  • ABC have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Luverdense, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
ABC Clean Sheet 68%
Luverdense Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric ABC Luverdense
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 16 12
Draws 7 10
Losses 7 8
Goals Scored 1.63 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.5 0.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 26, 2026 Serie D
ABC vs Luverdense
4:1
Jul 18, 2026 Serie D
Luverdense vs ABC
0:0
Nov 3, 2017 Serie B
ABC vs Luverdense
0:1
Jul 16, 2017 Serie B
Luverdense vs ABC
1:0
Sep 1, 2015 Serie B
Luverdense vs ABC
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

ABC Compare

Top Goalscorer Brunao
2 Goals
Assists Leader Igor Bahia
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Luverdense Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

ABC 95 / 100
Luverdense 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
ABC Luverdense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ABC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: ABC scored in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

ABC went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Luverdense conceded in 47% of 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

ABC VS Luverdense
1.63 Goals Scored 1.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.5
75% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

ABC

(Home)
26 Jul
ABC
4 : 1
Luverdense
18 Jul
Luverdense
0 : 0
ABC
12 Jul
ABC
3 : 0
Aguia De Maraba
04 Jul
Aguia De Maraba
2 : 1
ABC
28 Jun
ABC
1 : 1
AE Altos
Page 1 of 6

Luverdense

(Away)
26 Jul
ABC
4 : 1
Luverdense
18 Jul
Luverdense
0 : 0
ABC
12 Jul
Guapore
0 : 0
Luverdense
04 Jul
Luverdense
1 : 0
Guapore
28 Jun
Luverdense
1 : 1
Ceilandia
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Independencia Futebol Clube1
Manauara3
Brasiliense0
Goiatuba EC1
Imperatriz2
Maracana1
Central SC1
Ferroviario3
America RJ1
Piracicaba3
Sao Joseense1
Cianorte2
ASA2
Sergipe1
Ivinhema4
Democrata GV2
Portuguesa RJ4
Noroeste2
EC Sao Jose (PA)3
Santa Catarina2
Jacuipense1
Treze PB3
CRAC1
Tombense0
Fluminense-PI0
America RN4
Sampaio Correa2
Trem3
Sao Raimundo RR2
Porto Velho3
Mixto1
Gama3
Araguaina0
Nacional-AM (Manaus)1
Aparecidense1
Capital5
Tuna Luso2
Iguatu3
Maguary2
Piaui1
Monte Roraima3
Guapore4
Ceilandia2
Luverdense3
Parnahyba2
Aguia De Maraba3
AE Altos1
ABC2
Serra Branca3
Juazeirense0
Rio Branco ES2
Uberlandia4
Sampaio Correa FE1
Portuguesa2
FC Cascavel3
Marcilio Dias4
Sao Luiz3
Blumenau2
Velo Clube2
Agua Santa1
Lagarto1
CSA3
Vitoria ES1
Betim FC2
1/16-finals
Manauara2
Goiatuba EC3
Imperatriz1
Ferroviario4
Piracicaba0
Cianorte4
ASA6
Ivinhema1
Portuguesa RJ0
EC Sao Jose (PA)1
Treze PB3
CRAC2
America RN6
Trem2
Porto Velho2
Gama3
Nacional-AM (Manaus)2
Capital1
Iguatu5
Maguary3
Guapore0
Luverdense1
Aguia De Maraba2
ABC4
Serra Branca2
Uberlandia3
Portuguesa3
Marcilio Dias1
Sao Luiz4
Velo Clube3
CSA4
Betim FC1
1/8-finals
Goiatuba EC5
Ferroviario1
Cianorte1
ASA6
EC Sao Jose (PA)3
Treze PB2
America RN3
Gama4
Nacional-AM (Manaus)3
Iguatu2
Luverdense1
ABC4
Uberlandia2
Portuguesa1
Sao Luiz1
CSA2
Quarter-finals
Goiatuba EC-
ASA-
EC Sao Jose (PA)-
Gama-
Nacional-AM (Manaus)-
ABC-
Uberlandia-
CSA-
Semi-finals
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Final
TBD-
TBD-