Sport Picks
ABC vs Luverdense
Brazil
Serie D Estadio Maria Lamas Farache (Frasqueirao), Natal 
Match Events
11'
11'
Igor Bahia
24'
24'
Wallyson
33'
33'
Douglas Silva
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 4-1. The second leg ended 4-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
41%
35%
24%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: ABC
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
41%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and ABC come out ahead of Luverdense on wins alone.
- 41% — that's where the model lands on ABC taking it.
- ABC have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Luverdense, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
ABC Clean Sheet 68%
Luverdense Clean Sheet 16%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | ABC | Luverdense |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 16 | 12 |
| Draws | 7 | 10 |
| Losses | 7 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.7 | 0.87 |
| Goals Conceded | 1 | 0.83 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.94 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 26, 2026 Serie D
ABC vs Luverdense
4:1
Jul 18, 2026 Serie D
Luverdense vs ABC
0:0
Nov 3, 2017 Serie B
ABC vs Luverdense
0:1
Jul 16, 2017 Serie B
Luverdense vs ABC
1:0
Sep 1, 2015 Serie B
Luverdense vs ABC
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
ABC Compare
Top Goalscorer Brunao
2 Goals Assists Leader Igor Bahia
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47
Luverdense Compare
Top Goalscorer Douglas Silva
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
ABC 77 / 100
Luverdense 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
ABC Luverdense
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick ABC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: ABC scored in 87% of their last 30 outings.
Games between these two average 1.80 goals.
ABC went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Defensive concern: Luverdense conceded in 47% of 30 recent games.
Scoring Trends
ABC VS Luverdense
1.5 Goals Scored 1.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.38
63% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
ABC
(Home) 30 Aug
ABC
1 : 1 Uberlandia
22 Aug
Uberlandia
1 : 0 ABC
16 Aug
ABC
1 : 0 Nacional-AM (Manaus)
08 Aug
Nacional-AM (Manaus)
1 : 2 ABC
26 Jul
ABC
4 : 1 Luverdense
Page 1 of 6
30 Aug
ABC
1 : 1 Uberlandia
16 Aug
ABC
1 : 0 Nacional-AM (Manaus)
26 Jul
ABC
4 : 1 Luverdense
12 Jul
ABC
3 : 0 Aguia De Maraba
28 Jun
ABC
1 : 1 AE Altos
Page 1 of 3
Luverdense
(Away) 26 Jul
ABC
4 : 1 Luverdense
18 Jul
Luverdense
0 : 0 ABC
12 Jul
Guapore
0 : 0 Luverdense
04 Jul
Luverdense
1 : 0 Guapore
28 Jun
Luverdense
1 : 1 Ceilandia
Page 1 of 6
26 Jul
ABC
4 : 1 Luverdense
12 Jul
Guapore
0 : 0 Luverdense
20 Jun
Ceilandia
1 : 2 Luverdense
31 May
Brasiliense
1 : 1 Luverdense
17 May
Primavera AC
1 : 0 Luverdense
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Independencia Futebol Clube 1
Manauara 3
Brasiliense 0
Goiatuba EC 1
Imperatriz 2
Maracana 1
Central SC 1
Ferroviario 3
America RJ 1
Piracicaba 3
Sao Joseense 1
Cianorte 2
ASA 2
Sergipe 1
Ivinhema 4
Democrata GV 2
Portuguesa RJ 4
Noroeste 2
EC Sao Jose (PA) 3
Santa Catarina 2
Jacuipense 1
Treze PB 3
CRAC 1
Tombense 0
Fluminense-PI 0
America RN 4
Sampaio Correa 2
Trem 3
Sao Raimundo RR 2
Porto Velho 3
Mixto 1
Gama 3
Serra Branca 3
Juazeirense 0
Rio Branco ES 2
Uberlandia 4
Sampaio Correa FE 1
Portuguesa 2
FC Cascavel 3
Marcilio Dias 4
Sao Luiz 3
Blumenau 2
Velo Clube 2
Agua Santa 1
Lagarto 1
CSA 3
Vitoria ES 1
Betim FC 2
Araguaina 0
Nacional-AM (Manaus) 1
Aparecidense 1
Capital 5
Tuna Luso 2
Iguatu 3
Maguary 2
Piaui 1
Monte Roraima 3
Guapore 4
Ceilandia 2
Luverdense 3
Parnahyba 2
Aguia De Maraba 3
AE Altos 1
ABC 2
1/16-finals
Manauara 2
Goiatuba EC 3
Imperatriz 1
Ferroviario 4
Piracicaba 0
Cianorte 4
ASA 6
Ivinhema 1
Portuguesa RJ 0
EC Sao Jose (PA) 1
Treze PB 3
CRAC 2
America RN 6
Trem 2
Porto Velho 2
Gama 3
Serra Branca 2
Uberlandia 3
Portuguesa 3
Marcilio Dias 1
Sao Luiz 4
Velo Clube 3
CSA 4
Betim FC 1
Nacional-AM (Manaus) 2
Capital 1
Iguatu 5
Maguary 3
Guapore 0
Luverdense 1
Aguia De Maraba 2
ABC 4
1/8-finals
Goiatuba EC 5
Ferroviario 1
Cianorte 1
ASA 6
EC Sao Jose (PA) 3
Treze PB 2
America RN 3
Gama 4
Uberlandia 2
Portuguesa 1
Sao Luiz 1
CSA 2
Nacional-AM (Manaus) 3
Iguatu 2
Luverdense 1
ABC 4
Quarter-finals
Goiatuba EC 1
ASA 2
EC Sao Jose (PA) 1
Gama 5
Uberlandia 3
CSA 0
Nacional-AM (Manaus) 1
ABC 3
Semi-finals
ASA 2
Gama 0
Uberlandia 2
ABC 1
Final
ASA 1
Uberlandia 3
