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ABC vs Nacional-AM (Manaus)

Brazil Brazil

Serie D Estadio Maria Lamas Farache (Frasqueirao), Natal
Sun, Aug 16, 2026
VS
08:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the Serie D. ABC are expected to control this from the start. Recent numbers: ABC at 1.63 goals for, 1 against; Nacional-AM (Manaus) at 1.25 for, 0.88 against. Past meetings favor Nacional-AM (Manaus) slightly — 1-3-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Oct 25, 2001, ending 2:1. Model xG sits at 1.20 vs 1.00, favoring ABC. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
ABC
28%
Draws
22%
Nacional-AM (Manaus)
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: ABC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Nacional-AM (Manaus) carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 50% — that's where the model lands on ABC taking it.
  • Nacional-AM (Manaus) arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Nacional-AM (Manaus), who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
ABC Clean Sheet 20%
Nacional-AM (Manaus) Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric ABC Nacional-AM (Manaus)
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 16 18
Draws 7 7
Losses 7 5
Goals Scored 1.63 1.25
Goals Conceded 1 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 25, 2001 Serie B
Nacional-AM (Manaus) vs ABC
2:1
Sep 2, 2001 Serie B
ABC vs Nacional-AM (Manaus)
1:0
Mar 27, 1985 Serie A Betano
ABC vs Nacional-AM (Manaus)
2:4
Feb 6, 1985 Serie A Betano
Nacional-AM (Manaus) vs ABC
4:0
Sep 20, 1972 Serie A Betano
ABC vs Nacional-AM (Manaus)
3:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

ABC 49 / 100
Nacional-AM (Manaus) 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
ABC Nacional-AM (Manaus)

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ABC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: ABC scored in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Defensive concern: Nacional-AM (Manaus) conceded in 67% of 30 recent games.

ABC went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

ABC VS Nacional-AM (Manaus)
1.63 Goals Scored 1.25
1 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

ABC

(Home)
26 Jul
ABC
4 : 1
Luverdense
18 Jul
Luverdense
0 : 0
ABC
12 Jul
ABC
3 : 0
Aguia De Maraba
04 Jul
Aguia De Maraba
2 : 1
ABC
28 Jun
ABC
1 : 1
AE Altos
Page 1 of 6

Nacional-AM (Manaus)

(Away)
25 Jul
Iguatu
1 : 2
Nacional-AM (Manaus)
18 Jul
Nacional-AM (Manaus)
1 : 1
Iguatu
12 Jul
Capital
1 : 1
Nacional-AM (Manaus)
04 Jul
Nacional-AM (Manaus)
1 : 0
Capital
28 Jun
Nacional-AM (Manaus)
0 : 0
Araguaina
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Independencia Futebol Clube1
Manauara3
Brasiliense0
Goiatuba EC1
Imperatriz2
Maracana1
Central SC1
Ferroviario3
America RJ1
Piracicaba3
Sao Joseense1
Cianorte2
ASA2
Sergipe1
Ivinhema4
Democrata GV2
Portuguesa RJ4
Noroeste2
EC Sao Jose (PA)3
Santa Catarina2
Jacuipense1
Treze PB3
CRAC1
Tombense0
Fluminense-PI0
America RN4
Sampaio Correa2
Trem3
Sao Raimundo RR2
Porto Velho3
Mixto1
Gama3
Araguaina0
Nacional-AM (Manaus)1
Aparecidense1
Capital5
Tuna Luso2
Iguatu3
Maguary2
Piaui1
Monte Roraima3
Guapore4
Ceilandia2
Luverdense3
Parnahyba2
Aguia De Maraba3
AE Altos1
ABC2
Serra Branca3
Juazeirense0
Rio Branco ES2
Uberlandia4
Sampaio Correa FE1
Portuguesa2
FC Cascavel3
Marcilio Dias4
Sao Luiz3
Blumenau2
Velo Clube2
Agua Santa1
Lagarto1
CSA3
Vitoria ES1
Betim FC2
1/16-finals
Manauara2
Goiatuba EC3
Imperatriz1
Ferroviario4
Piracicaba0
Cianorte4
ASA6
Ivinhema1
Portuguesa RJ0
EC Sao Jose (PA)1
Treze PB3
CRAC2
America RN6
Trem2
Porto Velho2
Gama3
Nacional-AM (Manaus)2
Capital1
Iguatu5
Maguary3
Guapore0
Luverdense1
Aguia De Maraba2
ABC4
Serra Branca2
Uberlandia3
Portuguesa3
Marcilio Dias1
Sao Luiz4
Velo Clube3
CSA4
Betim FC1
1/8-finals
Goiatuba EC5
Ferroviario1
Cianorte1
ASA6
EC Sao Jose (PA)3
Treze PB2
America RN3
Gama4
Nacional-AM (Manaus)3
Iguatu2
Luverdense1
ABC4
Uberlandia2
Portuguesa1
Sao Luiz1
CSA2
Quarter-finals
Goiatuba EC-
ASA-
EC Sao Jose (PA)-
Gama-
Nacional-AM (Manaus)-
ABC-
Uberlandia-
CSA-
Semi-finals
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Final
TBD-
TBD-