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ABC vs Nacional-AM (Manaus) - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Serie D Estadio Maria Lamas Farache (Frasqueirao), Natal
Our Tip

Match Events

34' Event
Wallyson
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-0. The second leg ended 1-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
ABC
20%
Draws
33%
Nacional-AM (Manaus)
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: ABC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Nacional-AM (Manaus) carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on ABC taking it.
  • Nacional-AM (Manaus) arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor ABC, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
ABC Clean Sheet 68%
Nacional-AM (Manaus) Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric ABC Nacional-AM (Manaus)
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 16 17
Draws 7 7
Losses 7 6
Goals Scored 1.7 1.57
Goals Conceded 1 0.8
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 16, 2026 Serie D
ABC vs Nacional-AM (Manaus)
1:0
Aug 8, 2026 Serie D
Nacional-AM (Manaus) vs ABC
1:2
Oct 25, 2001 Serie B
Nacional-AM (Manaus) vs ABC
2:1
Sep 2, 2001 Serie B
ABC vs Nacional-AM (Manaus)
1:0
Mar 27, 1985 Serie A Betano
ABC vs Nacional-AM (Manaus)
2:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

ABC 59 / 100
Nacional-AM (Manaus) 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
ABC Nacional-AM (Manaus)

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ABC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: ABC scored in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Nacional-AM (Manaus) let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

ABC went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

ABC VS Nacional-AM (Manaus)
1.63 Goals Scored 1.25
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

ABC

(Home)
30 Aug
ABC
1 : 1
Uberlandia
22 Aug
Uberlandia
1 : 0
ABC
16 Aug
ABC
1 : 0
Nacional-AM (Manaus)
08 Aug
Nacional-AM (Manaus)
1 : 2
ABC
26 Jul
ABC
4 : 1
Luverdense
Page 1 of 6

Nacional-AM (Manaus)

(Away)
03 Sept
CSA
0 : 0
Nacional-AM (Manaus)
28 Aug
Nacional-AM (Manaus)
3 : 1
CSA
16 Aug
ABC
1 : 0
Nacional-AM (Manaus)
08 Aug
Nacional-AM (Manaus)
1 : 2
ABC
25 Jul
Iguatu
1 : 2
Nacional-AM (Manaus)
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Independencia Futebol Clube 1
Manauara 3
Brasiliense 0
Goiatuba EC 1
Imperatriz 2
Maracana 1
Central SC 1
Ferroviario 3
America RJ 1
Piracicaba 3
Sao Joseense 1
Cianorte 2
ASA 2
Sergipe 1
Ivinhema 4
Democrata GV 2
Portuguesa RJ 4
Noroeste 2
EC Sao Jose (PA) 3
Santa Catarina 2
Jacuipense 1
Treze PB 3
CRAC 1
Tombense 0
Fluminense-PI 0
America RN 4
Sampaio Correa 2
Trem 3
Sao Raimundo RR 2
Porto Velho 3
Mixto 1
Gama 3
Serra Branca 3
Juazeirense 0
Rio Branco ES 2
Uberlandia 4
Sampaio Correa FE 1
Portuguesa 2
FC Cascavel 3
Marcilio Dias 4
Sao Luiz 3
Blumenau 2
Velo Clube 2
Agua Santa 1
Lagarto 1
CSA 3
Vitoria ES 1
Betim FC 2
Araguaina 0
Nacional-AM (Manaus) 1
Aparecidense 1
Capital 5
Tuna Luso 2
Iguatu 3
Maguary 2
Piaui 1
Monte Roraima 3
Guapore 4
Ceilandia 2
Luverdense 3
Parnahyba 2
Aguia De Maraba 3
AE Altos 1
ABC 2
1/16-finals
Manauara 2
Goiatuba EC 3
Imperatriz 1
Ferroviario 4
Piracicaba 0
Cianorte 4
ASA 6
Ivinhema 1
Portuguesa RJ 0
EC Sao Jose (PA) 1
Treze PB 3
CRAC 2
America RN 6
Trem 2
Porto Velho 2
Gama 3
Serra Branca 2
Uberlandia 3
Portuguesa 3
Marcilio Dias 1
Sao Luiz 4
Velo Clube 3
CSA 4
Betim FC 1
Nacional-AM (Manaus) 2
Capital 1
Iguatu 5
Maguary 3
Guapore 0
Luverdense 1
Aguia De Maraba 2
ABC 4
1/8-finals
Goiatuba EC 5
Ferroviario 1
Cianorte 1
ASA 6
EC Sao Jose (PA) 3
Treze PB 2
America RN 3
Gama 4
Uberlandia 2
Portuguesa 1
Sao Luiz 1
CSA 2
Nacional-AM (Manaus) 3
Iguatu 2
Luverdense 1
ABC 4
Quarter-finals
Goiatuba EC 1
ASA 2
EC Sao Jose (PA) 1
Gama 5
Uberlandia 3
CSA 0
Nacional-AM (Manaus) 1
ABC 3
Semi-finals
ASA 2
Gama 0
Uberlandia 2
ABC 1
Final
ASA 1
Uberlandia 3