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Stadium Background

ABECAT Ouvidorense vs Jataiense

Brazil Brazil

Goiano Estádio Municipal Luiz Benedito, Ouvidor
ABECAT Ouvidorense Logo

ABECAT Ouvidorense

2 - 1
FT
Jataiense Logo

Jataiense

Our Tip

Match Events

32' Event
Tiburcio
38'
Juliano
45' Event
Rafinha
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-1. This leg finished 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
ABECAT Ouvidorense
20%
Draws
33%
Jataiense
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: ABECAT Ouvidorense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • ABECAT Ouvidorense average 1.2 goals a game right now, well clear of Jataiense's 1.1.
  • Model gives ABECAT Ouvidorense a 47% chance of winning this.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor ABECAT Ouvidorense, who have won 3 of the last 4 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • ABECAT Ouvidorense have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 71%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
ABECAT Ouvidorense Clean Sheet 68%
Jataiense Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric ABECAT Ouvidorense Jataiense
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 10
Draws 9 6
Losses 11 14
Goals Scored 1.2 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.2 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 8, 2026 Goiano
Jataiense vs ABECAT Ouvidorense
1:1
Mar 4, 2026 Goiano
ABECAT Ouvidorense vs Jataiense
2:1
Jan 24, 2026 Goiano
ABECAT Ouvidorense vs Jataiense
2:0
Feb 15, 2025 Goiano
ABECAT Ouvidorense vs Jataiense
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

ABECAT Ouvidorense Compare

Top Goalscorer Rafinha
1 Goals
Assists Leader Emerson Machado
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Jataiense Compare

Top Goalscorer Tiburcio
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

ABECAT Ouvidorense 59 / 100
Jataiense 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
ABECAT Ouvidorense Jataiense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ABECAT Ouvidorense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

ABECAT Ouvidorense scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Jataiense's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.75 goals.

ABECAT Ouvidorense went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

ABECAT Ouvidorense VS Jataiense
1.13 Goals Scored 1
1.5 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 67%
38% Over 2.5 33%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

ABECAT Ouvidorense

(Home)
14 Jun
Uberlandia
0 : 1
ABECAT Ouvidorense
30 May
ABECAT Ouvidorense
2 : 1
Betim FC
23 May
ABECAT Ouvidorense
2 : 0
Operario MS
17 May
CRAC
2 : 1
ABECAT Ouvidorense
10 May
Ivinhema
0 : 0
ABECAT Ouvidorense
Page 1 of 6

Jataiense

(Away)
08 Mar
Jataiense
1 : 1
ABECAT Ouvidorense
04 Mar
ABECAT Ouvidorense
2 : 1
Jataiense
28 Feb
Jataiense
1 : 0
CRAC
21 Feb
CRAC
1 : 2
Jataiense
15 Feb
Jataiense
0 : 1
Anapolina
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

5th place
Jataiense 2
ABECAT Ouvidorense 3
Semi-finals
Jataiense 3
CRAC 1
ABECAT Ouvidorense 5
Anapolis 4