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Stadium Background

Abeokuta vs Madiba

Nigeria Nigeria

NNL 2022/2023 Ilaro Stadium, Ilaro
Abeokuta Logo

Abeokuta

3 - 1
FT
Madiba Logo

Madiba

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The NNL 2022/2023 game between Abeokuta and Madiba finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Abeokuta.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Abeokuta
15%
Draws
32%
Madiba
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Abeokuta

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Abeokuta come out ahead of Madiba on wins alone.
  • 53% — that's where the model lands on Abeokuta taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Abeokuta Clean Sheet 20%
Madiba Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Abeokuta Madiba
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 14 11
Draws 6 6
Losses 10 15
Goals Scored 1.3 1.22
Goals Conceded 0.9 1.44
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 13, 2023 NNL
Abeokuta vs Madiba
3:1
Apr 1, 2023 NNL
Madiba vs Abeokuta
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Abeokuta 85 / 100
Madiba 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Abeokuta Madiba

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Abeokuta Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Abeokuta scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Madiba conceded in 78% of 32 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Abeokuta has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Madiba
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Abeokuta

(Home)
05 Jul
Abeokuta
4 : 0
One Rocket
03 Jul
Sporting Lagos
2 : 0
Abeokuta
02 Jul
Abeokuta
0 : 0
Heartland FC
22 May
Ikorodu United
1 : 3
Abeokuta
13 May
Abeokuta
3 : 1
Madiba
Page 1 of 6

Madiba

(Away)
14 Jun
Madiba
1 : 4
Abakaliki
31 May
ABS
3 : 1
Madiba
23 May
Madiba
2 : 1
Godswill Akpabio
18 May
Osun United
1 : 0
Madiba
12 May
Madiba
3 : 2
Rovers FC
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 EFCC FC 10 6 1 3 12:7 19
2 Mighty Jets 10 6 0 4 7:7 18
3 Hypebuzz 10 4 2 4 13:8 14
4 Mailantarki Care 10 4 2 4 8:6 14
5 Abubakar Bukola Saraki 10 4 0 6 7:11 12
6 Kogi United 10 2 3 5 5:13 9
Promotion - NNL 2022/2023 (Promotion Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Katsina Utd 10 6 3 1 14:6 21
2 City FC Abuja 10 5 1 4 7:10 16
3 Jigawa Golden Stars 10 4 3 3 11:8 15
4 Nigeria Airforce FC 10 2 5 3 7:8 11
5 FWC Champions 10 2 4 4 8:10 10
6 Green Beret 10 1 4 5 9:14 7
Promotion - NNL 2022/2023 (Promotion Group)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 One Rocket 10 6 2 2 17:10 20
2 Warri Wolves 10 5 3 2 10:8 18
3 Rovers FC 10 4 4 2 8:7 16
4 Vandrezzer 10 3 3 4 10:10 12
5 Henserd 10 3 1 6 13:15 10
6 Go Round 10 1 3 6 4:12 6
Promotion - NNL 2022/2023 (Promotion Group)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sporting Lagos 10 5 3 2 16:9 18
2 Ijebu 10 5 3 2 15:11 18
3 Crown FC 10 4 3 3 9:8 15
4 Gateway United 10 3 2 5 5:8 11
5 Smart City 10 4 1 5 7:13 10
6 Joy Cometh 10 2 2 6 9:15 8
Promotion - NNL 2022/2023 (Promotion Group)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kano Pillars 8 6 1 1 14:3 19
2 Kebbi 8 4 2 2 12:9 14
3 Malumfashi 8 4 1 3 12:8 13
4 Sokoto United 8 2 2 4 8:11 8
5 Zamfara United 8 0 2 6 2:17 2
Promotion - NNL 2022/2023 (Promotion Group)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 DMD 6 3 2 1 3:1 11
2 Yobe Stars 6 3 1 2 1:2 7
3 Adamawa Utd 6 2 1 3 3:5 7
4 Police Machine 6 1 2 3 2:4 5
Promotion - NNL 2022/2023 (Promotion Group)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Abeokuta 8 5 2 1 16:7 17
2 Ekiti United 8 5 1 2 12:9 16
3 Madiba 8 4 2 2 16:7 14
4 Ikorodu United 8 2 0 6 8:14 6
5 Ebedei 8 1 1 6 5:20 4
Promotion - NNL 2022/2023 (Promotion Group)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Heartland FC 10 6 4 0 10:4 22
2 Giant Brillars 10 4 3 3 10:8 15
3 Cynosure 10 4 2 4 14:8 14
4 Abia Comets 10 3 4 3 6:5 13
5 Edel FC 10 3 2 5 7:13 11
6 Ibom Youths 10 1 3 6 6:15 6
Promotion - NNL 2022/2023 (Promotion Group)