Sport Picks
Abercarn United vs Pure Swansea - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Wales
FAW Welsh Cup 2025/2026 
AI Match Summary
This match ends 1-2, with Pure Swansea advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
23%
25%
52%
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Pure Swansea
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
52%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Pure Swansea come out ahead of Abercarn United on wins alone.
- 52% — that's where the model lands on Pure Swansea taking it.
- Pure Swansea arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Pure Swansea, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 40%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Abercarn United Clean Sheet 11%
Pure Swansea Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Abercarn United | Pure Swansea |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 3 | 29 |
| Wins | 1 | 12 |
| Draws | 0 | 7 |
| Losses | 2 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.67 | 1.72 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.33 | 1.59 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.21 | 1.79 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 20, 2025 FAW Welsh Cup
Abercarn United vs Pure Swansea
1:2
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Abercarn United 10 / 100
Pure Swansea 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Abercarn United Pure Swansea
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Pure Swansea Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Abercarn United found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (3 games).
Defensive concern: Pure Swansea conceded in 66% of 29 recent games.
H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.
Recent resilience: Abercarn United stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Abercarn United VS Pure Swansea
1.67 Goals Scored 1.25
2.33 Goals Conceded 0.75
100% Over 1.5 63%
100% Over 2.5 38%
67% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Abercarn United
(Home) 20 Sept
Abercarn United
1 : 2 Pure Swansea
14 Oct
Chepstow Town
4 : 0 Abercarn United
16 Sept
Abercarn United
4 : 1 St Albans
20 Sept
Abercarn United
1 : 2 Pure Swansea
16 Sept
Abercarn United
4 : 1 St Albans
Pure Swansea
(Away) 03 Oct
Pure Swansea
3 : 1 Caerphilly
25 Sept
Aberystwyth
0 : 0 Pure Swansea
11 Sept
Pure Swansea
4 : 0 Pontardawe
28 Aug
Pure Swansea
4 : 4 Pontypridd United
21 Aug
Caerau Ely
1 : 5 Pure Swansea
Page 1 of 6
25 Sept
Aberystwyth
0 : 0 Pure Swansea
21 Aug
Caerau Ely
1 : 5 Pure Swansea
09 Aug
Baglan Dragons
0 : 3 Pure Swansea
01 Aug
Llantwit Major
0 : 3 Pure Swansea
20 Sept
Abercarn United
1 : 2 Pure Swansea
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
Porthmadog 3
Denbigh 2
TBD -
Buckley -
Port Talbot 2
Seven Sisters 1
Afan Lido 3
Evans Williams 2
Pwllheli 1
Rhyl 3
Brickfield Rangers 3
NFA 1
Llantwit Major 2
Baglan Dragons 0
Cwmbran Town 5
Ynyshir Albions 4
Llanelli -
TBD -
TBD -
Haverfordwest -
Aberystwyth -
TBD -
TBD -
Barry Town -
Caerphilly 1
Caldicot 3
Penrhiwceiber Rangers 7
Pentwynmawr Ath 0
Saltney Town 3
Gresford 7
Llanrug 4
Ruthin Town 3
Cardiff Metropolitan University -
TBD -
Taffs Well 2
Abertillery Excelsiors 1
Mold Alexandra -
TBD -
TBD -
TNS -
Newtown -
TBD -
TBD -
Caernarfon -
Llannefydd 5
Llanberis FC 1
Penrhyncoch 2
Sychdyn Utd 0
Llwydcoed 3
Lliswerry 1
Pill -
Treowen -
Pontypridd United -
TBD -
Rhayader 1
Cefn Cribwr 4
Carmarthen Town -
TBD -
TBD -
Trethomas Bluebirds -
Llanfair United 1
Kinmel Bay 2
TBD -
Colwyn Bay -
Goytre Utd 2
Ammanford Town 1
TBD -
Cambrian United -
Briton Ferry -
TBD -
TBD -
Penybont -
Bow Street 4
Cefn Albion 2
TBD -
Flint Town -
Holyhead 4
Forden Utd 0
TBD -
Airbus UK Broughton FC -
Cwmbach Royal Stars 3
Garden Village 4
Tredegar Town 1
Glynneath Town 3
Broughton Utd 2
Welshpool 1
Berriew FC 0
Trearddur Bay 3
Newport City -
TBD -
Penygraig Utd 3
Cwm Welfare 2
Blaenavon Blues 4
Canton 1
Pontyclun FC 4
Tata Steel 1
St. Asaph 0
Bangor 1876 6
TBD -
Guilsfield -
Holywell Town FC -
TBD -
Rhostyllen 5
Nefyn United 2
Dinas Powys 3
Afan United 1
Cardiff Draconians 4
Cwmbran Celtic 2
Abercarn United 1
Pure Swansea 2
TBD -
Trefelin -
Caersws FC 6
Hawarden Rangers 1
Dolgellau Athletic 8
Queens Park 3
Penydarren 0
Caerau Ely 5
Morriston Town 1
Clydach 0
Llandudno FC -
TBD -
TBD -
Flint Mountain -
Bala -
TBD -
TBD -
Connahs Q. -
1/32-finals
Porthmadog 1
Buckley 0
Port Talbot 3
Afan Lido 1
Rhyl 1
Brickfield Rangers 0
Llantwit Major 1
Cwmbran Town 2
Llanelli 3
Haverfordwest 0
Aberystwyth 0
Barry Town 5
Caldicot 0
Penrhiwceiber Rangers 2
Gresford 9
Llanrug 0
Cardiff Metropolitan University 5
Taffs Well 1
Mold Alexandra 1
TNS 2
Newtown 0
Caernarfon 3
Llannefydd 1
Penrhyncoch 2
Llwydcoed 2
Treowen 5
Pontypridd United 3
Cefn Cribwr 1
Carmarthen Town 5
Trethomas Bluebirds 1
Kinmel Bay 0
Colwyn Bay 5
Goytre Utd 0
Cambrian United 6
Briton Ferry 0
Penybont 5
Bow Street 0
Flint Town 3
Holyhead 2
Airbus UK Broughton FC 5
Garden Village 2
Glynneath Town 4
Broughton Utd 0
Trearddur Bay 6
Newport City 3
Penygraig Utd 1
Blaenavon Blues 4
Pontyclun FC 2
Bangor 1876 2
Guilsfield 1
Holywell Town FC 3
Rhostyllen 2
Dinas Powys 1
Cardiff Draconians 3
Pure Swansea 1
Trefelin 6
Caersws FC 0
Dolgellau Athletic 1
Caerau Ely 3
Morriston Town 0
Llandudno FC 3
Flint Mountain 0
Bala 0
Connahs Q. 3
1/16-finals
Porthmadog 3
Port Talbot 2
Rhyl 3
Cwmbran Town 2
Llanelli 0
Barry Town 6
Penrhiwceiber Rangers 0
Gresford 3
Cardiff Metropolitan University 2
TNS 1
Caernarfon 4
Penrhyncoch 0
Treowen 1
Pontypridd United 2
Carmarthen Town 1
Colwyn Bay 3
Cambrian United 1
Penybont 3
Flint Town 1
Airbus UK Broughton FC 0
Glynneath Town 2
Trearddur Bay 5
Newport City 3
Blaenavon Blues 2
Bangor 1876 2
Holywell Town FC 1
Cardiff Draconians 3
Trefelin 4
Dolgellau Athletic 0
Caerau Ely 2
Llandudno FC 2
Connahs Q. 1
1/8-finals
Porthmadog 1
Rhyl 2
Barry Town 4
Gresford 0
Cardiff Metropolitan University 2
Caernarfon 4
Pontypridd United 0
Colwyn Bay 3
Penybont 0
Flint Town 1
Trearddur Bay 5
Newport City 3
Bangor 1876 2
Trefelin 0
Caerau Ely 2
Llandudno FC 1
Quarter-finals
Rhyl 2
Barry Town 1
Caernarfon 4
Colwyn Bay 1
Flint Town 3
Trearddur Bay 0
Bangor 1876 3
Caerau Ely 1
Semi-finals
Rhyl 1
Caernarfon 2
Flint Town 5
Bangor 1876 1
Final
Caernarfon 3
Flint Town 0
