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Aberdare Town vs Barry Town

Wales Wales

Division 1 2015/2016
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Barry Town in this Division 1 2015/2016 matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Barry Town.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Aberdare Town
15%
Draws
46%
Barry Town
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Barry Town

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Barry Town have won more games recently than Aberdare Town.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular Division 1 2015/2016 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Aberdare Town Clean Sheet 14%
Barry Town Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aberdare Town Barry Town
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 10 21
Draws 4 3
Losses 16 8
Goals Scored 0.97 2.03
Goals Conceded 1.87 1.19
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.61
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 12, 2016 Division 1
Aberdare Town vs Barry Town
0:3
Nov 28, 2015 Division 1
Barry Town vs Aberdare Town
1:1
Oct 31, 2015 FAW Welsh Cup
Barry Town vs Aberdare Town
7:2
Oct 4, 2014 FAW Welsh Cup
Aberdare Town vs Barry Town
4:2
Mar 23, 2013 Division 1
Barry Town vs Aberdare Town
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aberdare Town 31 / 100
Barry Town 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aberdare Town Barry Town

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.80 goals as a typical output.

Barry Town has conceded goals in 72% of their last 32 outings.

Aberdare Town found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (30 games).

Aberdare Town went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Barry Town
0 Goals Scored 2.13
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Aberdare Town

(Home)
06 Oct
Aberdare Town
0 : 1
Ammanford Town
06 May
Aberdare Town
1 : 2
Monmouth
30 Apr
Garden Village
0 : 1
Aberdare Town
26 Apr
Caerau Ely
5 : 1
Aberdare Town
23 Apr
Goytre AFC
2 : 3
Aberdare Town
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Barry Town

(Away)
03 Oct
Caernarfon
0 : 1
Barry Town
26 Sept
Barry Town
1 : 4
Connahs Q.
18 Sept
Colwyn Bay
5 : 2
Barry Town
15 Sept
Barry Town
2 : 2
Ammanford Town
11 Sept
Barry Town
4 : 1
Llandudno FC
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cardiff Metropolitan University 30 19 5 6 63:26 62
2 Barry Town 30 16 10 4 62:33 58
3 Goytre AFC 30 17 5 8 72:36 56
4 Caerau Ely 30 15 5 10 59:43 50
5 Cambrian United 30 15 5 10 48:39 50
6 Taffs Well 30 14 5 11 57:51 47
7 Goytre Utd 30 13 4 13 45:47 43
8 Afan Lido 30 11 9 10 53:53 42
9 Ton Pentre 30 12 4 14 45:52 40
10 Risca United 30 12 3 15 48:48 39
11 Penybont 30 11 6 13 53:56 39
12 Monmouth 30 10 9 11 56:60 39
13 Briton Ferry 30 10 9 11 41:49 39
14 Aberdare Town 30 11 4 15 34:56 37
15 Aberbargoed Buds 30 8 3 19 42:63 27
16 Garden Village 30 1 4 25 27:93 7
Promotion - Premier League 2016/2017 (Main)