Sport Picks
Match Events
AI Match Summary
The Division 1 2015/2016 game between Aberdare Town and Penybont finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Aberdare Town.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Penybont carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives Penybont a 61% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Penybont have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Aberdare Town | Penybont |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 10 | 13 |
| Draws | 4 | 7 |
| Losses | 16 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 0.97 | 1.3 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.87 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.10 | 0.93 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.
Penybont let in goals in 60% of their last 30 matches.
Aberdare Town found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (30 games).
Aberdare Town went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Aberdare Town
(Home)Penybont
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cardiff Metropolitan University | 30 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 63:26 | 62 |
| 2 | Barry Town | 30 | 16 | 10 | 4 | 62:33 | 58 |
| 3 | Goytre AFC | 30 | 17 | 5 | 8 | 72:36 | 56 |
| 4 | Caerau Ely | 30 | 15 | 5 | 10 | 59:43 | 50 |
| 5 | Cambrian United | 30 | 15 | 5 | 10 | 48:39 | 50 |
| 6 | Taffs Well | 30 | 14 | 5 | 11 | 57:51 | 47 |
| 7 | Goytre Utd | 30 | 13 | 4 | 13 | 45:47 | 43 |
| 8 | Afan Lido | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 53:53 | 42 |
| 9 | Ton Pentre | 30 | 12 | 4 | 14 | 45:52 | 40 |
| 10 | Risca United | 30 | 12 | 3 | 15 | 48:48 | 39 |
| 11 | Penybont | 30 | 11 | 6 | 13 | 53:56 | 39 |
| 12 | Monmouth | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 56:60 | 39 |
| 13 | Briton Ferry | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 41:49 | 39 |
| 14 | Aberdare Town | 30 | 11 | 4 | 15 | 34:56 | 37 |
| 15 | Aberbargoed Buds | 30 | 8 | 3 | 19 | 42:63 | 27 |
| 16 | Garden Village | 30 | 1 | 4 | 25 | 27:93 | 7 |
